@NickLWorth

#2,968,11447

0x8e824a605eefb785fd091aefc4fc1fc581415fad

~256d· 636 markets · 2419 tradesVol: $142,2492026-10-08 04:26:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (229/578)4.8/20
1.10x (win $8,779 / loss $7,973)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.76114.3/15
Sortino 1.34210/10
$+0.0259 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 297 (578 markets)10/10
79/191 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 209% of peak ($1,685 / $806)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#649,780$-163Vol: $36,145
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,432$-212Vol: $29,799
⚽ SPORTS#65,818$359Vol: $21,587
🌤️ WEATHER#299,862$-404Vol: $19,517
₿ CRYPTO#1,639,063$-501Vol: $13,554
🎭 CULTURE#794,659$-117Vol: $6,842
📈 ECONOMICS#3,813$709Vol: $5,910
📢 MENTIONS#175,368$-236Vol: $4,467
💻 TECH#259,267$-52Vol: $4,407

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-617
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$142,249
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
636
total markets
Trades
1831B / 588S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~256d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$29
Vol: $1,061
Month
$49
Vol: $5,284
All Time
$-617
Vol: $142,249

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
227W / 349L events
Realized PnL
$-601
Win Rate
39%
227W / 349L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,887 (3.141860619984684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$659
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$624
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$604
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$527
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers $526
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$359
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$301
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15$262
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$197
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?$174

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Pacers$-707
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-316
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-289
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?$-283
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$-267
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$-216
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$-195
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8PM ET$-181
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$-141
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61-62°F on October 30?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.062
HHI
316
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
33.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — normal for humanCV 2.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.6%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
9/21/2026, 5:50:17 AM2 trades$1,4100 min
6/28/2026, 5:22:47 AM4 trades$1,2792 min
7/26/2026, 9:29:03 PM2 trades$1,2420 min
11/5/2025, 8:49:31 PM6 trades$1,1165 min
6/23/2025, 9:00:25 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/19/2025, 10:28:30 PM16 trades$8768 min
6/25/2025, 12:03:13 AM1 trades$8010 min
11/6/2025, 5:33:03 AM1 trades$7230 min
12/10/2025, 6:23:22 PM32 trades$72012 min
10/15/2025, 3:11:05 PM3 trades$7080 min
6/18/2025, 5:15:00 PM7 trades$7024 min
6/19/2025, 11:54:02 PM1 trades$6980 min
9/15/2026, 3:35:55 PM10 trades$5861 min
10/15/2025, 6:50:37 PM7 trades$5668 min
7/25/2025, 4:46:25 PM3 trades$5443 min
11/1/2025, 5:36:17 PM8 trades$5266 min
5/27/2026, 3:59:41 PM8 trades$5162 min
5/27/2026, 8:36:18 PM8 trades$50211 min
5/14/2026, 4:47:47 AM4 trades$4901 min
7/11/2026, 4:53:40 PM8 trades$4880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
09-15
11-14
12-23
02-18
05-13
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 286 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
30% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M38.6 / H28.1