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@Nimble-Fun-Maracas

#2,684,26596

0x38657069859c7359d8324fe652907529ea85fcbe

55d· 16328 markets · 14775 tradesVol: $787,5732026-05-14T14:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 69.24x15/15
Sharpe 0.58211/15
Sortino 63.57110/10
EV $+6.71410/10
HHI 18710/10
Profit Days 69%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Nimble-Fun-Maracas is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 14,775 trades across 1,275 markets over 425 days. Despite the impressive trading volume of $787,573, their net PnL stands at -$3,813.70, placing them at rank #2,684,265 globally. Their portfolio value remains stable around $5,944, supported by a strong Smart Score of 96/100, indicating elite-level trading skill.

This trader exhibits a methodical and consistent style, reflected in a 94% win rate and a profit factor of 660.33, suggesting they capitalize well on winning trades. Nimble-Fun-Maracas appears to favor a low-risk approach, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.58 and zero days of max drawdown duration. The high sell percentage (88%) indicates a preference for locking in profits promptly. Their bot score of 75/100 and badges like 🤖 Bot and 🎯 Sniper hint at significant use of automated strategies and precise timing.

Nimble-Fun-Maracas’s key strengths include consistency, cool-headedness, and disciplined execution, which are valuable on Polymarket’s volatile markets. However, the negative net PnL despite a strong win rate and volume raises concerns about trade sizing or market selection. Additionally, the flat equity trend suggests limited portfolio growth, highlighting potential risks in scalability or adaptability to changing market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
Consistent
77/111 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,612,704$-1,612Vol: $433,152
₿ CRYPTO#85,701$101Vol: $170,699
🌤️ WEATHER#257,718$-1,778Vol: $133,364
🏛️ POLITICS#1,469,718$-208Vol: $22,341
🎭 CULTURE#11,339$245Vol: $12,929
💰 FINANCE#583,887$-139Vol: $7,766
📈 ECONOMICS#631,348$-456Vol: $5,713
📢 MENTIONS#105,968$-5Vol: $283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$787,573
Total Redeem
$17,317
Portfolio
$5,944
Predictions
16328
total markets
Trades
1805B / 12970S
Daily Volume
$57
Account Age
55d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $51
Week
$-331
Vol: $13,904
Month
$3,385
Vol: $34,483
All Time
$-3,814
Vol: $787,573

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
896W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$45,059
Win Rate
94%
110W / 7L
Profit Factor
660.33x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,893 (50.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2,744
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$679
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$470
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner$456
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$445
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$411
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoff$393
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner$383
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage$319
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$247

Top Losers

Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in t$-4
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in t$-3
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-2
Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?$-2
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the$-1
Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in t$-0
Will Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.582
Sortino
63.572
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.714
Kelly %
92.9%
Half-Kelly
46.5%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
188.6
Very active
Markets / Day
16.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.27 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness189 trades/day — automation16 markets/day — mass coverage1398 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
1009 entries
<=2
1181 entries
<=5
1258 entries
<=10
1270 entries
<=20
1274 entries
<=50
1275 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)82.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 14%

Other$7,643
Paris$56
Madrid$10
Dallas$4
Seattle$2
Denver$0
Los Angeles$0
Chicago$0
Atlanta$0
San Francisco$0
Miami$0
Houston$0
New York City$0
Warsh$0
Toronto$0
Panichelli$0
Austin$0
Wuhan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
945

Single bracket

<=1
868 brackets
<=2
893 brackets
<=3
904 brackets
<=4
915 brackets
<=5
921 brackets
<=8
935 brackets
>8
10 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 6:17:54 PM3 trades$100 min
2/25/2026, 1:48:28 PM1 trades$00 min
2/26/2026, 4:37:30 AM29 trades$4000 min
2/26/2026, 5:32:06 AM1 trades$90 min
2/26/2026, 6:59:00 AM7 trades$11 min
2/26/2026, 5:24:30 PM4 trades$14 min
2/26/2026, 7:03:10 PM24 trades$44 min
2/26/2026, 7:41:48 PM7 trades$12 min
2/26/2026, 8:03:44 PM15 trades$28 min
2/26/2026, 8:24:04 PM16 trades$25 min
2/26/2026, 10:00:28 PM4 trades$21 min
2/26/2026, 10:59:48 PM9 trades$31 min
2/26/2026, 11:26:50 PM5 trades$10 min
2/27/2026, 12:10:46 AM12 trades$22 min
2/27/2026, 12:37:38 AM19 trades$25 min
2/27/2026, 1:07:24 AM17 trades$23 min
2/27/2026, 1:17:38 AM24 trades$212 min
2/27/2026, 2:13:10 AM64 trades$516 min
2/27/2026, 2:58:04 AM2 trades$500 min
2/27/2026, 3:42:20 AM20 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-11
03-31
04-18
05-08
06-27
03-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
87.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event