@Niseko

#135,13381

0x801dbe416065cfa8ecffeae526eeb37f393fd8e0

~381d· 1284 markets · 21023 tradesVol: $6,904,5232026-08-02 09:50:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (863/1266)19.1/20
1.46x (win $587,382 / loss $402,243)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.37715/15
Sortino 4.38710/10
$+0.0556 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 40 (1266 markets)10/10
191/294 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($62,737 / $188,633)7.3/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 16.0 entries/market
Whale
$3,331,470 invested
Consistent
191/294 profitable days
High Roller
$5,609/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#6,921$7,031Vol: $3,623,402
🏛️ POLITICS#1,949$23,202Vol: $1,979,035
⚽ SPORTS#7,949$5,993Vol: $871,630
📈 ECONOMICS#682,190$-24,081Vol: $232,641
🎭 CULTURE#818,063$-13,399Vol: $93,423
🌤️ WEATHER#298,535$-4,637Vol: $48,826
💰 FINANCE#453,816$-1Vol: $31,063
💻 TECH#311$6,243Vol: $24,502

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$351
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,904,523
Total Redeem
$26,084
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1284
total markets
Trades
13640B / 7383S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~381d

Periods

#2
Today
$11,392
Vol: $0
Week
$-6,064
Vol: $0
Month
$8,191
Vol: $8,631
All Time
$351
Vol: $6,904,523

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
863W / 403L events
Realized PnL
$-767
Win Rate
68%
863W / 403L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$681
Avg Loss
$-1,008

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $162,789 (212.2104652527017% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$137,621
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$14,481
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10,687
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$8,014
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$7,214
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$6,976
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$6,848
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$6,648
76ers vs. Celtics$5,940
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$4,635

Top Losers

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?$-27,500
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$-12,681
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$-11,590
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$-11,260
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-9,160
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-8,522
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-6,847
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-6,783
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6,603
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$-6,570

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.160
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 150s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.1%
High (>55c)66.2%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2025, 1:48:18 AM84 trades$54,81576 min
9/17/2025, 4:11:50 PM38 trades$41,73168 min
9/2/2025, 3:59:54 PM33 trades$40,23343 min
10/1/2025, 11:53:31 AM28 trades$34,18738 min
5/5/2025, 1:22:42 AM4 trades$27,0785 min
5/25/2026, 12:28:45 AM49 trades$27,04313 min
4/24/2026, 2:58:44 PM2 trades$25,5000 min
6/15/2026, 1:22:54 AM67 trades$25,49926 min
4/29/2025, 1:28:45 PM1 trades$24,9560 min
9/20/2025, 11:38:00 AM32 trades$21,54825 min
9/1/2025, 2:45:56 PM19 trades$21,05424 min
6/20/2025, 7:39:56 AM13 trades$20,82218 min
6/28/2025, 12:10:19 PM7 trades$20,56915 min
7/10/2025, 8:02:18 PM54 trades$19,25046 min
9/8/2025, 2:00:58 PM20 trades$18,75334 min
7/25/2025, 1:47:35 PM111 trades$18,41950 min
4/30/2025, 7:17:53 AM2 trades$16,7513 min
4/29/2025, 3:11:16 PM4 trades$15,7802 min
11/5/2025, 2:14:19 AM17 trades$15,66834 min
4/29/2025, 10:29:24 PM1 trades$15,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
06-18
08-19
10-09
03-10
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M18.1 / H66.2