NominalValue

@NominalValue

#69,41423

0x84a4852966b8986400ff834a8c049f76adc18cb2

~25d· 26 markets · 386 tradesVol: $106,8522026-10-05 08:53:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (8/16)10/20
0.78x (win $3,394 / loss $4,375)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2720/15
Sortino -1.3920/10
$-0.0609 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1066 (16 markets)7.2/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 183% of peak ($3,711 / $2,030)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,001
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.2 entries/market

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#23,159$680Vol: $80,689
⚽ SPORTS#1,859,113$-687Vol: $13,024
📈 ECONOMICS#2,428$1,458Vol: $9,739
💰 FINANCE#639,290$-91Vol: $2,290
₿ CRYPTO#262,083$6Vol: $588
🌤️ WEATHER#283,487$-70Vol: $521

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,852
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
166B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-70
Vol: $0
Week
$-121
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $19,803
All Time
$1,295
Vol: $106,852

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
8W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$1,001
Win Rate
50%
8W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$424
Avg Loss
$-625

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,683 (2.680412371134021% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,263
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$721
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$700
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$355
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$318
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-2,993
James Comey arrested by May 15?$-594
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-382
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$-139
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$-123
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-72
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
462
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 334s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.5%
Mid (20-55c)36.1%
High (>55c)31.3%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 7:57:37 AM19 trades$3,6640 min
8/11/2026, 4:01:55 PM5 trades$2,3980 min
4/2/2026, 3:52:11 PM43 trades$2,3320 min
3/16/2026, 11:05:55 AM3 trades$2,1005 min
4/9/2026, 2:44:39 PM31 trades$2,0636 min
4/29/2026, 2:31:36 PM24 trades$1,8040 min
3/19/2026, 9:52:13 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
4/30/2026, 1:41:34 PM13 trades$1,3690 min
4/20/2026, 10:07:44 AM2 trades$1,3430 min
4/2/2026, 4:13:57 PM57 trades$1,1921 min
4/21/2026, 7:58:46 PM4 trades$1,0880 min
4/29/2026, 10:27:30 AM5 trades$1,0600 min
6/27/2026, 10:04:53 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/2/2026, 3:14:07 PM7 trades$8741 min
4/9/2026, 4:13:35 PM8 trades$8330 min
4/29/2026, 4:16:32 PM22 trades$7941 min
4/8/2026, 3:01:19 PM7 trades$7840 min
4/8/2026, 4:46:07 PM2 trades$6000 min
5/3/2026, 6:03:32 PM19 trades$5980 min
4/12/2026, 7:17:35 PM2 trades$5770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-01
04-10
04-12
04-16
04-29
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.5 / M36.1 / H31.3