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@Normal-Check

#59134

0x2b46bb71681777202368d095196f266944a1684d

143d· 2668 markets · 3213 tradesVol: $4,929,6112026-06-05T18:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.56x0/15
HHI 6910/10
Profit Days 47%4/10

Summary

Normal-Check is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 3,213 trades across 875 markets over 304 days. Ranked #591 globally by net PnL, they have earned $277,628.06 in profit on a total volume of nearly $5 million. Despite this solid profit, Normal-Check's Smart Score is below average at 34/100, indicating room for improvement in trading efficiency or risk management.

This trader favors a high-frequency approach, maintaining a win rate of 67.9% but with a relatively low profit factor of 0.56, suggesting smaller average gains compared to losses. Normal-Check’s Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.23, reflecting volatility and less favorable risk-adjusted returns. Their trading style is a hybrid of bot-assisted and manual execution, evident from a 45/100 Bot Score, and they avoid selling positions, instead holding through market fluctuations, as indicated by the 0% sell percentage.

Normal-Check’s key strength lies in their consistent upward equity trend and a maximum drawdown duration of zero days, showing resilience against prolonged losses. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and below-average Smart Score highlight potential risks in risk management and trade selection. Their semi-automated strategy may provide speed but could benefit from refinement to enhance overall profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+277,628
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
63 wins in a row
Whale
$1,391,845
High Roller
$4,578/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#284$277,628Vol: $4,929,611

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$277,628
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,929,611
Total Redeem
$959,592
Portfolio
$4,579
Predictions
2668
total markets
Trades
3213B / 0S
Daily Volume
$4,578
Account Age
143d
since Feb 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$56
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,030
Vol: $141,146
Month
$-2,030
Vol: $91,898
All Time
$277,628
Vol: $4,929,611

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
152W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$887,596
Win Rate
68%
447W / 211L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$749
Avg Loss
$-2,842

Top Winners

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5$24,143
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)$13,891
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)$13,411
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5$12,472
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$11,453
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$10,000
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)$8,642
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5$8,338
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)$7,283
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$6,302

Top Losers

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5$-38,174
Suns vs. Thunder$-26,178
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers$-15,979
Rockets vs. Lakers$-15,419
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants$-14,956
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5$-10,745
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars$-10,109
Lakers vs. Rockets$-9,633
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)$-8,729
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$-8,518

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.259
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.212
Kelly %
18.2%
Half-Kelly
9.1%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.7
Active
Markets / Day
7.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.1m
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — typical for humanSize CV 1.95 — diverse, typical for human58% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness27 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
375 entries
<=2
537 entries
<=5
705 entries
<=10
823 entries
<=20
863 entries
<=50
871 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)51.8%
High (>55c)37.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36%

Chicago$2,977
Atlanta$2,281
Toronto$892
Madrid$108
Los Angeles$100
Seattle$80
Dallas$32
Austin$2
Houston$-10,493
San Francisco$-13,118
Miami$-15,853
Other$-231,771

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.1
Events covered
283

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
177 brackets
<=2
210 brackets
<=3
230 brackets
<=4
234 brackets
<=5
239 brackets
<=8
253 brackets
>8
30 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 2:56:54 PM26 trades$1038 min
2/3/2026, 3:26:54 PM35 trades$4,0918 min
2/4/2026, 1:14:36 PM16 trades$5907 min
2/4/2026, 5:44:29 PM4 trades$1,0500 min
2/4/2026, 5:56:47 PM2 trades$1,0600 min
2/4/2026, 6:14:53 PM3 trades$8620 min
2/4/2026, 6:26:23 PM5 trades$3,8165 min
2/4/2026, 6:38:49 PM2 trades$1,1241 min
2/4/2026, 6:48:49 PM6 trades$2,7172 min
2/6/2026, 2:31:39 PM54 trades$4,14414 min
2/7/2026, 9:05:27 PM1 trades$50 min
2/8/2026, 3:11:33 AM1 trades$1,2500 min
2/8/2026, 3:23:37 AM2 trades$1,4601 min
2/8/2026, 3:49:43 AM3 trades$1,2401 min
2/8/2026, 3:55:45 AM1 trades$1,2060 min
2/8/2026, 4:03:13 AM1 trades$6250 min
2/8/2026, 4:08:43 AM8 trades$7,1324 min
2/8/2026, 4:42:23 AM4 trades$1,5202 min
2/8/2026, 4:54:29 AM10 trades$6,2993 min
2/9/2026, 12:13:53 AM18 trades$36,2628 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-27
03-18
04-19
05-05
05-21
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.1 br/event