Nostdam

@Nostdam

#2,92973

0xe732156a2d84cdfb4de831d3f11a22899e49898f

~468d· 2844 markets · 29643 tradesVol: $5,003,484 @AsymmInvesting2026-08-03 04:57:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (1544/2797)12.6/20
1.41x (win $211,646 / loss $149,775)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.04615/15
Sortino 3.64110/10
$+0.0467 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 35 (2797 markets)10/10
224/420 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($16,779 / $70,168)9.2/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+62,226
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 10.3 entries/market
Whale
$1,325,242 invested
High Roller
$1,996/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#3,819$14,621Vol: $1,967,203
🏛️ POLITICS#1,740$26,905Vol: $1,037,424
🎭 CULTURE#777$10,860Vol: $894,622
💰 FINANCE#1,204$4,356Vol: $270,733
CRYPTO#1,665,654$-5,309Vol: $156,150
📢 MENTIONS#342$5,128Vol: $64,578
📈 ECONOMICS#2,602$1,291Vol: $58,824
💻 TECH#992$1,595Vol: $39,164
🌤️ WEATHER#293,052$-313Vol: $27,150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$62,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,003,484
Total Redeem
$28,744
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2844
total markets
Trades
16945B / 12698S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~468d

Periods

#2
Today
$84
Vol: $424
Week
$84
Vol: $2,422
Month
$-472
Vol: $4,763
All Time
$62,203
Vol: $5,003,484

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
1544W / 1253L events
Realized PnL
$62,226
Win Rate
55%
1544W / 1253L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$137
Avg Loss
$-126

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,935 (0.3846431000948% of PnL)

Top Winners

Canadiens vs. Sabres$8,873
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$8,633
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$6,428
Sabres vs. Canadiens$5,422
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$5,133
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner$4,959
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$4,910
Oilers vs. Ducks$4,301
Canadiens vs. Senators$3,791
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner$3,275

Top Losers

Wild vs. Avalanche$-8,315
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-7,947
Avalanche vs. Wild$-4,324
Sabres vs. Canadiens$-4,272
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-4,089
Knicks vs. Spurs$-3,311
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,958
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,740
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-2,709
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-2,485

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.141
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.7m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency4.3 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.6%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)46.8%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 4:32:08 AM59 trades$28,99810 min
1/25/2026, 10:30:46 PM35 trades$17,14611 min
1/18/2026, 2:58:26 AM8 trades$16,2522 min
1/25/2026, 5:48:06 AM28 trades$15,0142 min
5/14/2026, 3:06:36 AM34 trades$14,3773 min
4/15/2026, 3:37:42 AM7 trades$13,3310 min
6/18/2026, 11:53:10 PM17 trades$12,7351 min
1/12/2026, 1:14:52 AM15 trades$11,09111 min
4/27/2026, 12:26:50 AM58 trades$10,97517 min
3/8/2026, 8:06:37 PM25 trades$10,63718 min
5/1/2026, 2:45:14 AM35 trades$10,5025 min
4/27/2026, 4:48:46 AM10 trades$9,9170 min
5/17/2026, 12:41:47 AM35 trades$9,7349 min
2/3/2026, 3:17:34 AM20 trades$9,5095 min
5/19/2026, 1:37:45 AM3 trades$9,1760 min
3/18/2026, 2:46:27 AM72 trades$8,83451 min
3/14/2026, 2:41:01 AM1 trades$8,7820 min
6/13/2026, 1:30:36 AM6 trades$8,7503 min
1/3/2026, 7:48:49 AM49 trades$8,67422 min
3/14/2026, 2:35:29 AM21 trades$8,5390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
06-01
09-06
12-06
02-14
04-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.6 / M27.6 / H46.8