@NotAnIdiot

#136,32958

0xbceb50be0fa7525e47f303370f7cf4e355c30049

~22d· 19 markets · 103 tradesVol: $29,1462026-09-10 21:10:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (6/14)6.4/20
1.93x (win $129 / loss $67)14.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.76015/15
Sortino 7.53610/10
$+0.0931 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 1925 (14 markets)2.9/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($58 / $74)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+2,515
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#297,358$-183Vol: $20,065
⚽ SPORTS#55,348$547Vol: $9,057
🏛️ POLITICS#620,108$-0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$363
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,146
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
90B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,954
Vol: $890
Month
$373
Vol: $8,320
All Time
$363
Vol: $29,146

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$2,515
Win Rate
43%
6W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.93x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121 (0.0482510725774065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$46
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$45
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$31
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$6
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$0

Top Losers

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-17
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-13
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-12
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$-10
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-8
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-5
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$-1
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.301
HHI
1531
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.101
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.1%
Top-5 markets
78.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3639s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)63.3%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 11:04:02 PM5 trades$1011 min
7/16/2026, 7:57:58 AM2 trades$360 min
7/11/2026, 9:09:20 AM4 trades$334 min
8/1/2026, 7:11:18 PM3 trades$325 min
7/29/2026, 10:44:48 PM5 trades$293 min
9/8/2026, 2:45:30 PM3 trades$291 min
7/29/2026, 6:26:41 AM3 trades$250 min
7/11/2026, 10:34:53 AM2 trades$201 min
7/19/2026, 5:09:21 AM1 trades$190 min
7/19/2026, 1:46:12 PM1 trades$180 min
7/21/2026, 6:41:30 AM3 trades$162 min
7/22/2026, 12:31:30 PM2 trades$160 min
7/22/2026, 1:00:07 PM3 trades$164 min
7/16/2026, 8:04:56 AM2 trades$150 min
7/10/2026, 2:48:50 PM1 trades$150 min
7/10/2026, 11:25:07 PM1 trades$150 min
8/1/2026, 7:36:00 PM1 trades$150 min
7/12/2026, 7:47:35 AM2 trades$140 min
8/2/2026, 2:46:00 AM1 trades$140 min
8/2/2026, 7:10:30 AM1 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-11
07-12
07-19
07-23
07-25
07-29
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.8 / M18.9 / H63.3