ORACULO

@ORACULO

#2,402,2225

0x8f30f7ba13c8ef0da76634c7f1d10e4aaef1663b

~9d· 10 markets · 54 tradesVol: $2,2332026-08-27 11:21:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (3/10)0/20
0.39x (win $34 / loss $87)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.8590/15
Sortino -9.8380/10
$-0.2807 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1533 (10 markets)4.8/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($53 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,417,180$-53Vol: $2,233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,233
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
39B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
3W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
30%
3W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.6504725897920605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?$-7
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.478
Sortino
-0.675
HHI
1305
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.281
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
72.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4062s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.3%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2025, 6:06:11 AM6 trades$331 min
5/23/2025, 5:44:11 PM2 trades$292 min
5/18/2025, 10:25:57 PM2 trades$202 min
5/24/2025, 9:03:13 AM1 trades$200 min
5/19/2025, 12:23:47 AM2 trades$161 min
5/26/2025, 3:59:36 AM4 trades$145 min
5/22/2025, 1:02:33 AM1 trades$140 min
5/25/2025, 3:36:17 AM2 trades$121 min
5/20/2025, 2:05:13 PM2 trades$113 min
5/25/2025, 11:04:00 PM1 trades$100 min
5/21/2025, 10:16:01 PM3 trades$102 min
5/19/2025, 2:29:27 PM1 trades$100 min
5/23/2025, 2:06:31 PM2 trades$103 min
5/25/2025, 7:30:57 AM1 trades$100 min
5/18/2025, 7:30:39 PM1 trades$100 min
5/24/2025, 8:03:39 AM1 trades$100 min
5/24/2025, 11:50:29 PM1 trades$100 min
5/23/2025, 6:47:29 PM1 trades$70 min
5/20/2025, 5:02:39 PM1 trades$70 min
5/19/2025, 2:57:01 AM2 trades$52 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
05-19
05-20
05-22
05-24
05-25
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.3 / M43.6 / H5.1