@ObsidianPM

#2,07517

0x7b676d5a6379855773d405fcf19b9aa577651b07

~200d· 852 markets · 158620 tradesVol: $161,271,7852026-08-05 18:26:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (266/764)2.4/20
0.68x (win $24,347 / loss $35,927)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4110/15
Sortino -1.8440/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 478 (764 markets)10/10
55/118 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 292% of peak ($18,454 / $6,318)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+92,656
Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$2,295,493 invested
High Roller
$4,666/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#606$82,486Vol: $105,192,768
📈 ECONOMICS#627$10,032Vol: $44,588,140
⚽ SPORTS#1,881,594$-22,386Vol: $5,087,179
₿ CRYPTO#2,416$18,658Vol: $4,672,593
🎭 CULTURE#1,905$3,892Vol: $1,339,816
💻 TECH#2,984$318Vol: $80,973
💰 FINANCE#9,507$307Vol: $47,218
📢 MENTIONS#174,024$-597Vol: $10,372
🌤️ WEATHER#230,205$-5Vol: $4,378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$92,656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,271,785
Total Redeem
$11,750
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
852
total markets
Trades
10455B / 5449S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~200d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $35
Week
$1
Vol: $3,063
Month
$-491
Vol: $4,642
All Time
$92,656
Vol: $161,271,785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
2068W / 3213L events
Realized PnL
$92,656
Win Rate
39%
2068W / 3213L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,409 (0.155514476459901% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs$8,035
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3,895
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$2,479
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1,286
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$1,139
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$932
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$789
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$624
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$600
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$560

Top Losers

BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Cazaux$-6,900
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-6,820
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-3,664
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-3,632
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-2,106
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-1,840
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,640
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$-1,313
Counter-Strike: OG vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D$-1,146
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-919

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
322.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 7.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock322 trades/day — automation1.7 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)94.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)5.4%

Sessions

#12
11/1/2025, 4:57:01 PM11 trades$154,30614 min
9/23/2025, 1:11:24 AM11 trades$85,8159 min
11/9/2025, 7:29:49 AM7 trades$66,64612 min
11/9/2025, 5:06:09 PM4 trades$62,6851 min
10/27/2025, 8:40:29 AM22 trades$58,59432 min
10/28/2025, 8:26:25 PM4 trades$58,2939 min
11/3/2025, 8:28:13 PM14 trades$53,36525 min
11/7/2025, 7:38:31 AM4 trades$49,7002 min
2/19/2026, 2:30:30 AM1 trades$47,9520 min
11/4/2025, 5:21:21 AM4 trades$46,82910 min
11/1/2025, 4:30:19 PM5 trades$43,8879 min
10/28/2025, 8:46:49 PM5 trades$42,5137 min
11/27/2025, 2:03:35 PM3 trades$41,7332 min
10/28/2025, 6:30:49 PM4 trades$41,4013 min
11/27/2025, 1:25:31 PM4 trades$40,75310 min
6/13/2026, 5:11:15 PM8 trades$39,5980 min
6/2/2026, 12:44:30 AM3 trades$32,4751 min
11/1/2025, 4:11:37 PM6 trades$29,1679 min
4/29/2026, 3:34:16 PM5 trades$28,9220 min
2/18/2026, 7:56:12 AM1 trades$28,8660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-27
10-01
11-09
12-08
01-28
02-27
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L94.3 / M0.4 / H5.4