@Occasionalbettor
#2,593910x380002b00394456c8a247bcf115b5ee665f72325
~223d· 193 markets · 4356 tradesVol: $4,768,4842026-08-02 11:51:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
94% (182/193)20/20
3.71x (win $98,868 / loss $26,629)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.28215/15
Sortino 9.24910/10
$+0.0185 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 137 (193 markets)10/10
121/132 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($12,480 / $72,239)10/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+71,661
DCA Master
Avg 22.6 entries/market
Whale
$3,905,263 invested
Consistent
121/132 profitable days
High Roller
$6,219/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
42 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,635$28,640Vol: $1,759,806
🎭 CULTURE#521$15,686Vol: $1,352,716
📈 ECONOMICS#259$27,784Vol: $1,279,399
⚽ SPORTS#1,855,077$-2,029Vol: $247,655
💻 TECH#3,625$231Vol: $76,869
💰 FINANCE#3,526$1,250Vol: $31,942
₿ CRYPTO#95,302$100Vol: $20,097
Overview
#1Net PnL
$71,661
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,768,484
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
193
total markets
Trades
3840B / 516S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~223d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
94%
182W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$71,661
Win Rate
94%
182W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.71x
Avg Win
$543
Avg Loss
$-2,421
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,947 (0.2783555405219095% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$7,053
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$6,912
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5,983
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$4,516
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3,192
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3,026
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2,715
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2,711
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2,700
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$2,658
Top Losers
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-9,680
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-7,912
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?$-2,478
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?$-2,375
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov $-1,335
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-1,105
Wimbledon: Fognini vs. Alcaraz $-603
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-563
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.275
Sortino
0.165
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
61.3%
Half-Kelly
30.6%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.4m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.9%
Sessions
#129/17/2025, 11:58:44 AM13 trades$100,5214 min
10/26/2025, 5:32:09 PM9 trades$60,00015 min
10/9/2025, 11:43:42 AM2 trades$51,3733 min
10/23/2025, 8:38:09 AM1 trades$50,0370 min
1/9/2026, 1:31:28 PM1 trades$50,0000 min
3/23/2026, 11:33:47 AM1 trades$49,8500 min
11/5/2024, 7:54:37 AM16 trades$47,69418 min
4/29/2025, 2:15:24 AM3 trades$43,2160 min
6/25/2025, 6:53:53 AM1 trades$41,9840 min
7/18/2026, 7:16:33 AM6 trades$40,5020 min
10/14/2025, 8:37:25 AM1 trades$40,0000 min
3/12/2025, 1:25:51 PM1 trades$40,0000 min
6/23/2025, 9:30:01 AM1 trades$37,0360 min
11/4/2025, 12:12:07 PM21 trades$36,68014 min
1/29/2026, 5:53:54 PM10 trades$34,7588 min
6/11/2026, 8:43:57 AM26 trades$34,5360 min
11/4/2025, 5:09:53 PM10 trades$33,3201 min
4/29/2025, 9:33:46 AM11 trades$32,49415 min
12/9/2025, 7:15:28 PM17 trades$31,0521 min
5/18/2025, 9:44:27 PM39 trades$30,9338 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
04-19
06-18
08-08
10-26
02-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.1 / H99.9