Ofers69

@Ofers69

#3,053,5584

0xd6eaafe43d7ed9ce1ff9ce77ddf5e7d753f3aef5

~81d· 84 markets · 729 tradesVol: $150,3252026-08-26 09:13:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (28/79)2.7/20
0.24x (win $2,567 / loss $10,812)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2200/15
Sortino -4.1780/10
$-0.6380 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2553 (79 markets)0/10
14/42 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 713% of peak ($9,589 / $1,344)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,849$-2,544Vol: $141,489
SPORTS#1,486,251$-22Vol: $5,220
🎭 CULTURE#33,386$44Vol: $1,124
💰 FINANCE#643,038$-132Vol: $1,034
CRYPTO#1,238,955$-16Vol: $934

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,681
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,325
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
373B / 356S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

Periods

#2
Month
$-431
Vol: $15,013
All Time
$-2,681
Vol: $150,325

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
28W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-2,681
Win Rate
35%
28W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-212

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,511 (0.5637555855607195% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$672
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$459
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$380
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$226
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$197
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$196
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?$85
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$68
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$67
US military action against Iran before July?$58

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-5,023
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-2,628
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$-575
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-491
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$-352
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$-221
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$-147
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-142
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$-124
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?$-103

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.218
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
889
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.595
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
53.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.4%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)19.6%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 5:35:18 PM19 trades$5,9701 min
6/1/2026, 2:32:04 PM7 trades$5,9471 min
7/25/2026, 7:37:04 PM7 trades$5,1013 min
5/24/2026, 1:08:30 PM5 trades$4,7302 min
8/4/2026, 6:57:12 PM20 trades$4,5060 min
6/13/2026, 8:13:06 PM11 trades$4,1552 min
7/29/2026, 12:35:24 PM6 trades$4,0181 min
5/3/2026, 5:22:48 PM10 trades$3,9112 min
7/26/2026, 8:24:57 PM9 trades$3,1441 min
5/22/2026, 10:13:16 PM7 trades$2,3051 min
5/29/2026, 6:46:40 PM10 trades$2,2151 min
5/21/2026, 10:41:08 AM20 trades$2,1736 min
5/12/2026, 6:55:52 AM14 trades$2,1422 min
6/4/2026, 1:19:57 PM4 trades$1,9061 min
5/12/2026, 9:28:16 AM8 trades$1,6122 min
5/5/2026, 5:44:16 PM10 trades$1,4721 min
6/1/2026, 8:47:23 PM17 trades$1,3114 min
5/4/2026, 4:34:16 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
5/12/2026, 11:27:39 AM3 trades$1,2110 min
3/1/2026, 10:35:01 AM2 trades$1,0901 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
03-21
01-30
03-02
03-16
04-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 143 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.4 / M26 / H19.6