Ogonee

@Ogonee

#23,18341

0x0a793254e040027c5d1ca0c2f87cda8e22228e05

~433d· 466 markets · 5268 tradesVol: $2,527,174 @Dmytro763624202026-08-04 21:45:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (365/461)20/20
0.91x (win $47,784 / loss $52,582)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2010/15
Sortino -0.2080/10
$-0.0028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 123 (461 markets)10/10
217/268 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 121% of peak ($34,142 / $28,133)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+5,581
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,717,572 invested
Consistent
217/268 profitable days
High Roller
$2,296/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,298$-3,915Vol: $1,659,479
📈 ECONOMICS#1,317$3,636Vol: $284,912
🎭 CULTURE#3,665$1,588Vol: $216,981
CRYPTO#1,582,373$-424Vol: $205,495
SPORTS#10,527$4,348Vol: $72,732
💻 TECH#2,957$322Vol: $43,059
💰 FINANCE#9,576$303Vol: $24,249
📢 MENTIONS#171,838$-339Vol: $2,844

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,581
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,527,174
Total Redeem
$805
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
466
total markets
Trades
3632B / 1636S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~433d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $1,303
Week
$10
Vol: $1,903
Month
$128
Vol: $2,403
All Time
$5,581
Vol: $2,527,174

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
365W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$5,581
Win Rate
79%
365W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$131
Avg Loss
$-559

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,716 (1.5616632263983257% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3,597
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$3,132
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1,986
US government shutdown Saturday?$1,924
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1,770
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1,326
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1,233
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,003
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$859
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$838

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-22,206
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-13,656
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-3,305
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-2,627
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-2,165
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$-1,513
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-927
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-823
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)$-605
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-507

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.011
Sortino
-0.005
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)96.8%

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 4:48:41 AM48 trades$34,17719 min
2/18/2026, 3:50:30 AM2 trades$30,3990 min
8/15/2025, 7:29:02 PM6 trades$24,5913 min
2/28/2026, 9:37:39 AM37 trades$23,31912 min
2/26/2026, 2:29:06 PM1 trades$23,1220 min
2/28/2026, 7:28:09 AM2 trades$23,0992 min
2/27/2026, 8:21:01 AM13 trades$22,08512 min
2/22/2026, 6:55:34 PM1 trades$21,7540 min
11/7/2025, 10:27:19 PM1 trades$21,0660 min
12/3/2025, 3:07:31 PM12 trades$20,9503 min
2/25/2026, 8:43:30 AM10 trades$18,5224 min
12/31/2025, 7:44:11 AM2 trades$18,1650 min
12/29/2025, 9:20:21 PM19 trades$18,0784 min
10/10/2025, 5:58:30 AM6 trades$16,8042 min
1/3/2026, 9:59:19 AM22 trades$16,03022 min
11/12/2025, 9:18:02 PM11 trades$15,9778 min
12/19/2025, 9:56:57 PM3 trades$15,9443 min
2/16/2026, 12:27:27 PM2 trades$15,2792 min
1/3/2026, 9:43:37 AM9 trades$14,2448 min
2/17/2026, 9:47:27 AM3 trades$14,0260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-18
01-20
06-22
09-28
12-22
02-26
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M2.3 / H96.8