@OldManYellsAtClouds
#123,235440xaa37cd67919ba9a1ef9d44157cbfca373e48d346
~86d· 1762 markets · 6095 tradesVol: $413,3722026-08-04 18:09:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (1319/1758)20/20
1.02x (win $445 / loss $436)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0410.8/15
Sortino 0.0420.4/10
$+0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8 (1758 markets)10/10
83/85 profitable days (98%)10/10
Max DD 125% of peak ($426 / $341)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+435
Whale
$158,946 invested
Consistent
83/85 profitable days
High Roller
$1,543/day
Win Streak
35 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#2,851$435Vol: $413,372
Overview
#1Net PnL
$435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$413,372
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1762
total markets
Trades
3267B / 2828S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d
Periods
#2Today
$5
Vol: $4,898
Week
$15
Vol: $18,744
Month
$42
Vol: $24,624
All Time
$435
Vol: $413,372
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
1319W / 439L events
Realized PnL
$435
Win Rate
75%
1319W / 439L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-55
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (0.08313986898057694% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?$21
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?$12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$2
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 14?$1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$1
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?$1
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?$-299
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?$-137
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
101.294
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
59.2
Very active
Markets / Day
17.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.1m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.8
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 11:00:13 PM33 trades$1,65412 min
6/21/2026, 5:00:44 PM32 trades$1,5766 min
5/13/2026, 5:02:42 PM42 trades$1,48925 min
6/9/2026, 10:02:15 AM41 trades$1,47713 min
6/19/2026, 5:00:13 PM27 trades$1,4483 min
6/10/2026, 10:00:16 AM25 trades$1,4236 min
6/6/2026, 10:00:34 AM30 trades$1,4156 min
6/18/2026, 5:01:59 PM28 trades$1,2969 min
7/31/2026, 10:02:54 AM22 trades$1,2765 min
6/13/2026, 5:01:49 PM34 trades$1,1849 min
6/5/2026, 10:00:31 AM23 trades$1,1296 min
6/21/2026, 10:00:22 AM14 trades$1,1050 min
6/20/2026, 3:33:16 PM14 trades$1,0716 min
6/11/2026, 10:01:43 AM15 trades$1,0576 min
5/9/2026, 10:01:07 AM32 trades$1,0475 min
5/5/2026, 10:00:28 AM39 trades$1,04515 min
7/3/2026, 11:03:22 PM17 trades$1,0435 min
6/11/2026, 3:31:48 PM14 trades$1,0173 min
8/4/2026, 10:03:47 AM19 trades$1,01310 min
5/10/2026, 10:01:08 AM25 trades$9664 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-08
06-04
06-18
07-03
07-19
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100