Polydata

@Ondra

#4,84066

0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009

~313d· 1666 markets · 364905 tradesVol: $62,444,8772026-07-31 23:26:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (756/1654)7.9/20
1.33x (win $82,069 / loss $61,834)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91015/15
Sortino 4.46510/10
$+0.0706 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 38 (1654 markets)10/10
120/285 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($3,836 / $20,293)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+34,918
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 21.7 entries/market
Whale
$286,475 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#212$35,821Vol: $60,750,212
CRYPTO#1,119,081$-9Vol: $825,791
🏛️ POLITICS#67,185$91Vol: $598,083
🌤️ WEATHER#296,030$-818Vol: $169,671
📈 ECONOMICS#30,371$18Vol: $52,355
💻 TECH#211,023$-4Vol: $24,793
💰 FINANCE#481,061$-1Vol: $23,971

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35,098
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,444,877
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1666
total markets
Trades
21775B / 14501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~313d

Periods

#2
Today
$403
Vol: $51,314
Week
$1,649
Vol: $314,446
Month
$2,918
Vol: $1,250,104
All Time
$35,098
Vol: $62,444,877

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
1201W / 1077L events
Realized PnL
$34,918
Win Rate
53%
1201W / 1077L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$109
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,710 (0.4212677349495995% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$5,382
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$5,182
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$4,145
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$3,371
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$3,123
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2,889
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2,661
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2,207
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2,199
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2,137

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-3,092
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-2,895
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-2,306
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$-1,989
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-1,281
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-1,194
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$-1,059
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-983
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$-905
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-846

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.204
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
4.2%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1105.8
Very active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 232s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1106 trades/day — automation5.0 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)28.5%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 9:49:08 AM13 trades$11,6290 min
5/9/2026, 11:29:18 PM24 trades$10,2229 min
5/22/2026, 10:58:25 AM37 trades$7,80811 min
6/19/2026, 5:30:43 AM8 trades$7,3238 min
5/10/2026, 2:53:13 PM5 trades$7,2940 min
6/17/2026, 8:17:50 AM11 trades$4,5510 min
3/7/2026, 7:40:07 AM78 trades$4,41378 min
3/13/2026, 12:05:57 PM105 trades$4,33684 min
5/29/2026, 7:33:49 AM5 trades$4,1392 min
6/13/2026, 2:09:22 AM12 trades$3,7332 min
2/24/2026, 4:09:52 PM62 trades$3,16930 min
7/22/2026, 1:53:52 AM5 trades$3,1410 min
12/29/2025, 7:31:33 PM20 trades$3,08615 min
6/8/2026, 3:51:06 PM6 trades$2,8630 min
7/21/2026, 1:12:21 PM5 trades$2,7982 min
4/26/2026, 7:04:10 AM6 trades$2,7600 min
5/7/2026, 2:04:13 AM7 trades$2,7190 min
5/19/2026, 2:21:15 PM28 trades$2,7180 min
3/13/2026, 6:17:49 AM69 trades$2,48945 min
3/4/2026, 3:04:43 PM30 trades$2,45818 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-05
11-04
12-24
02-10
03-29
05-27
07-25
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.69/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.1 / M14.5 / H28.5