Polydata

@Ordon

#2,49082

0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce

~643d· 5324 markets · 39880 tradesVol: $36,435,8632026-07-31 15:26:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (4533/5285)20/20
1.65x (win $177,494 / loss $107,463)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.72615/15
Sortino 2.35010/10
$+0.0028 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 86 (5285 markets)10/10
431/500 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($28,447 / $75,993)6.5/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+74,816
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$24,899,189 invested
Consistent
431/500 profitable days
High Roller
$37,052/day
Win Streak
42 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,382$34,703Vol: $17,572,990
CRYPTO#1,398$30,656Vol: $6,052,323
🎭 CULTURE#881$9,290Vol: $4,501,189
SPORTS#14,783$2,957Vol: $2,719,692
📈 ECONOMICS#846$6,882Vol: $1,744,867
📢 MENTIONS#176,476$-17,077Vol: $1,501,879
💰 FINANCE#2,112$2,306Vol: $733,736
💻 TECH#436$4,289Vol: $642,110
🌤️ WEATHER#1,778$870Vol: $364,225

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74,815
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,435,863
Total Redeem
$1,330,359
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5324
total markets
Trades
26881B / 12999S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~643d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $68
Week
$10
Vol: $5,463
Month
$508
Vol: $809,928
All Time
$74,815
Vol: $36,435,863

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
4533W / 752L events
Realized PnL
$74,816
Win Rate
86%
4533W / 752L
Profit Factor
1.65x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-211

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31,710 (0.42384846588874536% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$18,707
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7,657
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5,346
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$4,844
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?$3,833
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$3,253
Was Trump hacked?$2,466
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,225
Will Bitcoin dip to $117K July 14–20?$2,058
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?$1,815

Top Losers

Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$-23,538
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-18,775
Will Solana dip to $230 September 15-21?$-6,421
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-4,051
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-3,791
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$-3,452
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-2,917
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$-2,482
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-2,387
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-2,199

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.046
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.3
Very active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 4.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading7.9 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)81.9%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 11:26:14 PM33 trades$481,6627 min
1/10/2026, 11:59:36 PM220 trades$430,91272 min
4/8/2026, 1:01:29 AM59 trades$382,8809 min
1/30/2026, 11:52:42 AM123 trades$320,23420 min
1/2/2026, 11:07:21 PM61 trades$308,38933 min
4/8/2026, 12:04:01 AM84 trades$298,65710 min
6/17/2026, 5:49:38 PM22 trades$251,51515 min
6/4/2026, 12:34:22 AM10 trades$212,3450 min
5/9/2026, 7:08:57 PM38 trades$210,24430 min
6/17/2026, 12:18:37 AM10 trades$208,1030 min
2/3/2026, 2:52:24 AM16 trades$178,7747 min
2/28/2026, 12:18:35 PM119 trades$169,08478 min
6/17/2026, 8:27:10 AM3 trades$168,8200 min
4/27/2026, 8:18:24 PM107 trades$168,54610 min
4/29/2026, 9:47:04 PM9 trades$165,6305 min
4/29/2026, 1:12:00 AM4 trades$159,5702 min
4/27/2026, 6:54:48 PM72 trades$153,88430 min
7/19/2026, 10:09:15 PM98 trades$143,4251 min
4/6/2026, 10:51:09 PM18 trades$139,9902 min
6/19/2026, 2:31:16 PM24 trades$139,8600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-24
07-19
10-15
01-08
04-23
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M8.6 / H81.9