@OrthogonalVol

#10,94681

0xc50459ea189e62507ec43055827d85af07697a4c

~112d· 341 markets · 16448 tradesVol: $1,935,8402026-08-04 11:09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (176/313)13.1/20
1.86x (win $30,935 / loss $16,603)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.47515/15
Sortino 12.97310/10
$+0.0297 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 139 (313 markets)10/10
43/70 profitable days (61%)7.9/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($2,334 / $15,564)10/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+13,828
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 47.8 entries/market
Whale
$483,075 invested
Consistent
43/70 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#2,998$15,544Vol: $1,887,992
💰 FINANCE#654,862$-1,284Vol: $32,085
🏛️ POLITICS#1,528,574$-109Vol: $8,723
⚽ SPORTS#1,777,006$-350Vol: $4,225
🎭 CULTURE#661,202$-6Vol: $1,735
📈 ECONOMICS#34,886$14Vol: $600
🌤️ WEATHER#18,798$15Vol: $475

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,826
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,935,840
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
341
total markets
Trades
10782B / 5666S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $1,165
Week
$25
Vol: $5,811
Month
$300
Vol: $10,261
All Time
$13,826
Vol: $1,935,840

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
176W / 137L events
Realized PnL
$13,828
Win Rate
56%
176W / 137L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$176
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,560 (0.6190245810888111% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$5,568
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?$1,558
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,434
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$1,282
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$906
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$867
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$809
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?$722
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$650
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$616

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2,403
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-1,420
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?$-1,364
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?$-726
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 1?$-508
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks $-400
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?$-395
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?$-387
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)$-383
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?$-357

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.522
HHI
87
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
10.9%
Half-Kelly
5.5%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
29 min
Avg Trades / Session
74.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
47.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)37%
High (>55c)40.4%

Sessions

#12
1/18/2026, 11:03:18 PM358 trades$17,52380 min
1/20/2026, 10:34:20 PM203 trades$13,75877 min
1/30/2026, 1:34:30 AM185 trades$13,52037 min
1/31/2026, 4:41:04 PM200 trades$8,48760 min
2/12/2026, 4:07:07 PM277 trades$7,88167 min
1/29/2026, 3:33:34 PM113 trades$6,77151 min
5/21/2026, 3:01:46 PM19 trades$5,8945 min
1/23/2026, 8:20:06 PM154 trades$5,47168 min
2/16/2026, 5:24:29 AM45 trades$5,44921 min
1/31/2026, 6:32:00 PM71 trades$5,40924 min
12/17/2025, 2:50:44 PM60 trades$5,31027 min
1/20/2026, 8:00:22 AM263 trades$4,98449 min
1/29/2026, 6:23:50 PM50 trades$4,89036 min
7/17/2026, 12:52:15 PM25 trades$4,8592 min
1/30/2026, 8:09:44 PM85 trades$4,84526 min
1/5/2026, 4:16:55 PM128 trades$4,62251 min
1/13/2026, 10:07:42 PM40 trades$4,52122 min
2/23/2026, 1:22:20 AM62 trades$4,1075 min
1/29/2026, 4:49:28 PM54 trades$4,02131 min
12/16/2025, 6:57:31 PM42 trades$3,91419 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
12-30
01-12
01-23
02-03
02-14
03-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 47.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.6 / M37 / H40.4