OxfordExpress

@OxfordExpress

#2,61883

0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824

~336d· 1339 markets · 18133 tradesVol: $2,859,1922026-08-02 08:50:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (580/1258)8.1/20
2.35x (win $166,702 / loss $70,801)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.44515/15
Sortino 9.89910/10
$+0.1928 per $1 invested9.6/10
HHI 89 (1258 markets)10/10
153/297 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($15,049 / $107,828)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+71,417
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Whale
$497,325 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,198$19,920Vol: $1,609,750
📢 MENTIONS#145$13,332Vol: $267,052
🎭 CULTURE#770$10,981Vol: $218,294
SPORTS#45,106$746Vol: $200,111
CRYPTO#13,995$3,249Vol: $164,522
📈 ECONOMICS#1,219$4,077Vol: $134,344
💰 FINANCE#483$11,212Vol: $105,300
💻 TECH#520$3,485Vol: $75,600
🌤️ WEATHER#3,136$380Vol: $17,630

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$70,829
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,859,192
Total Redeem
$12,554
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1339
total markets
Trades
9164B / 8969S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~336d

Periods

#2
Today
$565
Vol: $4,383
Week
$4,670
Vol: $4,383
Month
$2,636
Vol: $51,066
All Time
$70,829
Vol: $2,859,192

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
580W / 677L events
Realized PnL
$71,417
Win Rate
46%
580W / 677L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$287
Avg Loss
$-110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57,671 (0.807532847778281% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$34,571
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16,271
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$6,830
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$5,387
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,703
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?$4,423
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$4,310
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3,742
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$3,738
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$3,447

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-6,292
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-4,041
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-3,073
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-2,560
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?$-2,004
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-1,828
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-1,447
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-1,379
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,308
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$-1,145

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.384
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)37.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 9:22:28 PM5 trades$20,8292 min
8/1/2026, 4:26:08 PM11 trades$12,5583 min
5/6/2026, 12:42:56 AM6 trades$11,0294 min
5/18/2026, 11:04:29 PM834 trades$10,3090 min
5/15/2026, 5:03:05 PM4 trades$9,4970 min
6/14/2026, 11:55:37 PM10 trades$8,76910 min
5/1/2026, 7:15:26 PM18 trades$8,6682 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:22 PM41 trades$7,63820 min
6/1/2026, 4:45:55 PM16 trades$7,38816 min
2/11/2026, 12:44:29 AM21 trades$7,1064 min
6/28/2026, 10:33:20 AM21 trades$6,55310 min
7/20/2026, 3:50:21 PM22 trades$6,4688 min
7/19/2026, 10:38:58 PM26 trades$6,1187 min
6/5/2026, 1:10:57 AM260 trades$5,9940 min
2/17/2026, 11:11:47 PM4 trades$5,7005 min
7/7/2026, 2:18:20 AM35 trades$5,6304 min
6/13/2026, 1:50:45 PM12 trades$5,3741 min
6/12/2026, 8:30:58 AM6 trades$5,2770 min
3/30/2026, 10:08:11 PM1 trades$5,0340 min
7/2/2026, 5:03:46 PM19 trades$4,9953 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
10-27
12-28
02-19
04-12
06-05
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M21 / H37.2