@PMProf

#2,613,67261

0xcb69f9d3d30a8f102267f880aed55d14e59c361e

~89d· 164 markets · 2477 tradesVol: $152,965 @PolymarketProf2026-08-06 03:17:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (47/106)7.2/20
1.56x (win $5,874 / loss $3,767)9.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.70515/15
Sortino 4.60110/10
$+0.0906 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 485 (106 markets)10/10
22/56 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($1,256 / $2,108)2.1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+92
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#52,183$149Vol: $87,218
💰 FINANCE#621,825$-56Vol: $28,955
SPORTS#1,683,275$-103Vol: $27,123
📈 ECONOMICS#47,706$8Vol: $4,351
CRYPTO#1,422,758$-64Vol: $994
💻 TECH#23,941$5Vol: $186
🎭 CULTURE#661,608$-6Vol: $113

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,965
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
852B / 1625S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$-150
Vol: $9,481
Month
$-188
Vol: $10,770
All Time
$-123
Vol: $152,965

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
47W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$92
Win Rate
44%
47W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$125
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,740 (18.934602829162134% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$639
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$565
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$536
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$434
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$269
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$265
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$179
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$174
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$172

Top Losers

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-823
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-520
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$-210
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-188
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of June 29 2026?$-185
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-165
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$-156
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-130
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-128
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-115

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.208
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.158
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
20.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 383s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)56%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 10:56:50 AM6 trades$5,0181 min
6/23/2026, 1:41:32 PM11 trades$2,2011 min
6/20/2026, 6:56:47 PM27 trades$1,4659 min
6/17/2026, 5:06:20 AM21 trades$1,0203 min
6/17/2026, 10:11:58 AM4 trades$1,0001 min
7/26/2026, 11:46:37 AM4 trades$9731 min
6/21/2026, 8:15:56 PM18 trades$82710 min
7/3/2026, 6:12:43 AM8 trades$7975 min
6/16/2026, 6:06:34 PM21 trades$7471 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:33 AM24 trades$6165 min
6/20/2026, 7:55:28 AM15 trades$6005 min
6/19/2026, 8:21:49 PM9 trades$5605 min
6/23/2026, 4:57:23 AM8 trades$5504 min
6/17/2026, 7:11:37 PM6 trades$5041 min
5/24/2026, 5:37:28 AM27 trades$4849 min
6/29/2026, 9:52:41 AM6 trades$4731 min
6/14/2026, 3:06:00 PM19 trades$4662 min
6/14/2026, 3:55:16 PM12 trades$4613 min
6/19/2026, 10:27:47 PM9 trades$4601 min
7/3/2026, 7:37:11 AM5 trades$4540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-07
05-25
06-14
06-24
07-04
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M28.8 / H56