Polydata
PMTraderAdam

@PMTraderAdam

#6,44595

0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066

735d· 811 markets · 4752 tradesVol: $1,398,067 @PMTraderAdam2026-05-18T20:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 29.16x15/15
Sharpe 0.54710/15
Sortino 512342.97810/10
EV $+1.20510/10
HHI 25110/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

PMTraderAdam is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 4,752 trades executed across 279 markets over 681 days. Ranked #6445 globally on the PnL leaderboard, they have achieved a net profit of $20,097.03 and maintain a portfolio value of $28,033.93. Their Smart Score of 95/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance, while their total trading volume exceeds $1.39 million.

Their trading style suggests a balanced approach with a moderate risk profile. PMTraderAdam shows a preference for diversified market participation rather than focusing on specific sectors, as evidenced by zero exposure to weather markets and a varied portfolio. Their win rate of 57.4% combined with a profit factor of 0.20 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.55 indicates steady, albeit low-risk, profitability. The trader employs a mix of strategies, including dollar-cost averaging as highlighted by their DCA Master badge, and they tend to hold positions rather than frequently selling, given a 38% sell rate.

PMTraderAdam’s strengths include a strong equity growth trend, a short max drawdown duration, and a high Smart Score that signals strategic efficiency. However, their relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility capture, which may cap potential gains. Additionally, while their human-like fast interface usage indicates responsiveness, this could also expose them to impulsive decisions under certain market conditions. Overall, PMTraderAdam demonstrates disciplined and steady trading on Polymarket with room for optimizing risk-reward balance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+20,097
DCA Master
avg 10.6 entries/market
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$416,537
Consistent
67/68 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#4,544$7,144Vol: $905,132
💰 FINANCE#1,154$3,830Vol: $127,375
🎭 CULTURE#2,147$3,075Vol: $117,913
CRYPTO#20,561$1,731Vol: $63,811
💻 TECH#748$1,922Vol: $58,310
📈 ECONOMICS#6,645$221Vol: $39,153
SPORTS#68,597$262Vol: $35,678
📢 MENTIONS#4,956$130Vol: $18,960
🌤️ WEATHER#4,309$177Vol: $16,487

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,097
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,398,067
Total Redeem
$60,068
Portfolio
$28,034
Predictions
811
total markets
Trades
2971B / 1781S
Daily Volume
$612
Account Age
735d
since May 15, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$601
Vol: $9,529
Week
$601
Vol: $20,562
Month
$1,568
Vol: $295,953
All Time
$20,097
Vol: $1,398,067

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
222W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$35,750
Win Rate
57%
124W / 92L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$142
Avg Loss
$-955

Top Winners

Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?$1,168
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$993
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2$979
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$891
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$724
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$700
Kash Patel out by April 30?$667
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$563
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$555
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, $521

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-8,522
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-8,039
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $-7,734
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $-3,956
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 202$-3,354
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $-3,081
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-2,954
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$-2,934
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? $-2,734
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-2,622

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.547
Sortino
inf
HHI
251
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.205
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
26.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 500s — typical for humanSize CV 2.25 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active312 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
47 entries
<=2
87 entries
<=5
154 entries
<=10
205 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
271 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)86.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 13.3%

Chicago$173
Seattle$0
Other$-70,408

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
203

Single bracket

<=1
161 brackets
<=2
184 brackets
<=3
194 brackets
<=4
199 brackets
<=5
201 brackets
<=8
203 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/23/2025, 12:42:19 AM1 trades$600 min
7/26/2025, 6:23:07 AM1 trades$620 min
8/3/2025, 5:52:50 AM1 trades$990 min
8/4/2025, 2:25:59 AM1 trades$1560 min
8/4/2025, 1:29:35 PM1 trades$70 min
8/4/2025, 2:55:25 PM2 trades$140 min
8/25/2025, 9:05:15 AM1 trades$70 min
8/25/2025, 10:35:27 PM1 trades$40 min
8/26/2025, 4:47:13 PM1 trades$120 min
8/27/2025, 12:20:07 AM1 trades$800 min
8/31/2025, 6:29:42 PM1 trades$330 min
8/31/2025, 6:39:30 PM1 trades$980 min
9/13/2025, 2:52:31 PM1 trades$590 min
9/18/2025, 5:34:34 AM2 trades$61 min
9/26/2025, 7:34:31 PM1 trades$20 min
9/26/2025, 10:44:53 PM1 trades$20 min
9/27/2025, 5:04:27 AM1 trades$1190 min
9/27/2025, 6:12:47 AM1 trades$10 min
9/27/2025, 4:12:55 PM1 trades$390 min
9/27/2025, 4:49:15 PM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-07
11-30
02-09
04-03
05-18
05-20
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event