@PROPHET100000000

#2,759,38358

0x118234bd8c811612fa8d2f91fbaf6cf1685d0aa5

~23d· 54 markets · 195 tradesVol: $36,9542026-09-21 19:35:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (12/52)0/20
2.53x (win $350 / loss $139)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.98915/15
Sortino 19.18310/10
$+0.8939 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2712 (52 markets)0/10
2/17 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($91 / $302)8/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 30%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,513,647$-120Vol: $22,274
📈 ECONOMICS#661,040$-53Vol: $13,051
SPORTS#1,465,396$-19Vol: $1,496
🎭 CULTURE#663,738$-7Vol: $80
📢 MENTIONS#96,913$-2Vol: $53

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,954
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
89B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $1,522
All Time
$-201
Vol: $36,954

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
12W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-181
Win Rate
23%
12W / 40L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $285 (1.5794775293336285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$198
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$49
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$38
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$36
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$17
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-43
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-19
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-7
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-7
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
1.092
HHI
1997
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.825
Kelly %
18.7%
Half-Kelly
9.3%
Top-1 market
42.6%
Top-5 markets
62.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.3m
between trades
Night Trading
57%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)57% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.4%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)10.1%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 5:31:36 AM6 trades$4,0000 min
6/14/2026, 6:12:40 AM7 trades$1,1640 min
7/9/2026, 3:31:23 AM9 trades$1,0380 min
8/12/2026, 4:22:54 AM9 trades$1,0050 min
7/9/2026, 3:19:02 AM25 trades$3961 min
6/17/2026, 7:24:28 PM13 trades$2300 min
6/17/2026, 6:25:43 PM9 trades$1120 min
5/5/2026, 12:29:12 AM5 trades$603 min
3/24/2026, 6:02:29 AM17 trades$3520 min
7/3/2026, 4:12:38 AM2 trades$290 min
7/11/2026, 9:23:34 PM4 trades$251 min
5/21/2026, 3:22:59 AM2 trades$190 min
7/14/2026, 2:52:17 PM4 trades$181 min
3/24/2026, 4:59:19 AM16 trades$1830 min
3/24/2026, 5:41:25 AM10 trades$157 min
3/24/2026, 4:40:43 AM5 trades$1413 min
3/11/2026, 11:01:35 PM1 trades$110 min
7/3/2026, 2:11:59 PM2 trades$100 min
7/3/2026, 1:40:37 PM4 trades$101 min
2/1/2026, 12:12:16 AM5 trades$96 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-01
02-09
02-15
04-23
05-05
06-14
07-09
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.4 / M13.5 / H10.1