PacalHarcos

@PacalHarcos

#2,826,1047

0xf2a6fbc3a05c7457191a49366bd3f980af4d24b8

~96d· 64 markets · 451 tradesVol: $117,8952026-08-05 18:26:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (14/57)0/20
0.76x (win $1,584 / loss $2,084)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2340/15
Sortino -2.0670/10
$-0.1099 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1106 (57 markets)7/10
8/38 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 918% of peak ($852 / $93)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,513$-412Vol: $117,265
📈 ECONOMICS#75,348$3Vol: $310
SPORTS#269,665$12Vol: $134
💰 FINANCE#78,350$5Vol: $108
📢 MENTIONS#142,613$-20Vol: $54
🎭 CULTURE#136,635$2Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,895
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
304B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$27
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $10
Month
$14
Vol: $10
All Time
$-412
Vol: $117,895

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
14W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-430
Win Rate
25%
14W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,479 (3.4396623883928577% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$794
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$622
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?$63
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$45
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$15
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$10
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$7
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$6
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$5
Will Trump sue the BBC?$4

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-593
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-290
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$-162
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-106
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-93
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$-78
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-68
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-67
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-59
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
1142
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.8%
Top-5 markets
64.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1414s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.9%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)7.2%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 10:28:47 PM22 trades$1,0812 min
7/4/2026, 11:39:23 AM8 trades$6864 min
5/20/2026, 10:25:15 PM6 trades$5670 min
4/2/2026, 8:19:07 PM9 trades$5200 min
4/12/2026, 6:23:33 PM9 trades$5140 min
5/20/2026, 10:11:35 PM5 trades$4700 min
5/20/2026, 10:47:31 PM6 trades$4010 min
7/24/2026, 9:54:12 PM3 trades$2640 min
6/17/2026, 8:04:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 6:12:42 PM3 trades$1720 min
7/3/2026, 11:13:32 PM4 trades$1500 min
6/5/2026, 4:50:36 PM5 trades$1164 min
7/24/2026, 3:41:42 PM3 trades$1130 min
4/29/2026, 8:46:28 AM4 trades$1120 min
4/14/2026, 2:06:11 PM4 trades$1080 min
6/17/2026, 3:38:37 PM5 trades$1021 min
4/1/2026, 10:43:07 AM14 trades$1001 min
6/16/2026, 6:22:53 PM2 trades$990 min
6/30/2026, 10:42:34 PM5 trades$930 min
6/13/2026, 6:03:30 PM4 trades$870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
11-23
12-26
01-22
05-09
06-05
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 144 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.9 / M33.9 / H7.2