PaddyAlpha

@PaddyAlpha

#3,44168

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d

~486d· 1340 markets · 186778 tradesVol: $21,683,740 @SRank3952162026-08-02 15:43:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (625/1151)12.2/20
1.45x (win $49,665 / loss $34,329)8.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.42915/15
Sortino 2.77410/10
$+0.0194 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 54 (1151 markets)10/10
202/367 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($7,050 / $16,817)5.6/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+51,705
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 13.8 entries/market
Whale
$789,122 invested
High Roller
$1,241/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,818$25,512Vol: $11,507,485
CRYPTO#2,488$18,134Vol: $6,589,963
🎭 CULTURE#616$13,484Vol: $2,466,535
💰 FINANCE#656,733$-5,152Vol: $475,485
SPORTS#1,627,994$-66Vol: $300,767
🌤️ WEATHER#297,521$-1,205Vol: $113,110
💻 TECH#1,386$1,013Vol: $107,821
📢 MENTIONS#173,184$-517Vol: $90,049
📈 ECONOMICS#651,671$-63Vol: $8,716

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51,729
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,683,740
Total Redeem
$17,293
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1340
total markets
Trades
10186B / 8345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~486d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,929
Vol: $17,143
Week
$152
Vol: $17,143
Month
$3,578
Vol: $58,469
All Time
$51,729
Vol: $21,683,740

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
1294W / 414L events
Realized PnL
$51,705
Win Rate
76%
1294W / 414L
Profit Factor
1.45x
Avg Win
$79
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,457 (0.221591488204569% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5,426
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$3,460
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,572
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,752
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,496
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,425
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,282
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,270
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1,235
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1,111

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-3,966
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-2,095
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,460
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,281
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,209
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-1,075
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-830
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$-822
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-791
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$-786

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.075
Sortino
0.103
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
293.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 750s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock294 trades/day — automation2.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)63.5%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2025, 10:50:37 AM2 trades$9,7952 min
1/8/2026, 12:40:55 PM3 trades$6,7600 min
6/29/2025, 9:38:31 PM3 trades$6,1059 min
2/28/2026, 7:26:15 AM3 trades$5,5008 min
4/1/2026, 3:29:23 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
1/3/2026, 10:37:43 AM4 trades$4,9634 min
11/1/2025, 6:03:39 AM1 trades$4,9020 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:42 AM7 trades$4,7646 min
6/11/2025, 9:50:11 AM1 trades$4,6820 min
1/3/2026, 9:31:21 AM1 trades$4,5510 min
3/28/2026, 10:18:19 AM3 trades$4,2131 min
9/9/2025, 9:24:22 AM4 trades$4,1894 min
6/14/2025, 9:05:19 PM1 trades$4,0660 min
6/21/2025, 10:30:00 PM1 trades$3,9650 min
3/30/2026, 9:59:56 AM1 trades$3,9560 min
6/16/2026, 1:21:14 PM5 trades$3,9495 min
7/26/2025, 2:10:19 AM3 trades$3,8652 min
6/11/2025, 7:45:01 AM3 trades$3,8616 min
9/19/2025, 8:46:30 PM1 trades$3,7550 min
6/16/2026, 11:07:52 AM6 trades$3,5839 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
07-19
10-14
12-24
03-01
05-16
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 94 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M16.9 / H63.5