Polydata
Pale-Semicolon

@Pale-Semicolon

#1,745100

0x41583f2efc720b8e2682750fffb67f2806fece9f

551d· 1475 markets · 4189 tradesVol: $3,219,5142026-05-18T10:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 8946.54x15/15
Sharpe 0.85815/15
Sortino 1836922.90910/10
EV $+876.08610/10
HHI 8410/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Pale-Semicolon is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1745 globally with a net profit of $86,940.92. Over 640 days, they have executed 4,189 trades across 259 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $3.2 million. Their elite Smart Score of 100/100 highlights consistent performance, supported by a 99.2% win rate and a profit factor exceeding 1800, indicating exceptional profitability. Despite a modest portfolio value of $161.27, their Sharpe ratio of 0.86 suggests reasonable risk-adjusted returns, and they maintain a zero-day max drawdown duration.

Pale-Semicolon’s trading style on Polymarket is characterized by manual, high-frequency trading with a focus on precision and timing. Their badges, such as Sniper and Contrarian, imply a preference for sharp entry points and counter-trend opportunities. The trader does not engage in weather markets and maintains a sell percentage of 37%, indicating selective profit-taking rather than frequent exits. The upward equity trend and a win streak badge further reflect disciplined, consistent execution.

Key strengths include Pale-Semicolon’s elite Smart Score and extremely high win rate, which demonstrate exceptional skill and consistency. However, the low portfolio value compared to trade volume may indicate limited capital allocation or risk constraints. Additionally, their human, manual trading approach, while precise, can be susceptible to fatigue or emotional biases. Overall, Pale-Semicolon’s data shows a strong, disciplined trader with scalable methods but some exposure to human-related risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+86,941
Contrarian
70% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 10.2 entries/market
Win Streak
113 wins in a row
Whale
$218,163
Consistent
60/60 days

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#536$85,245Vol: $2,772,484
🎭 CULTURE#2,213$2,948Vol: $242,977
📈 ECONOMICS#638,408$-1,619Vol: $86,811
💰 FINANCE#592,012$-233Vol: $48,612
💻 TECH#1,434$775Vol: $22,939
CRYPTO#1,386,216$-191Vol: $15,431
📢 MENTIONS#161,147$-473Vol: $14,606
SPORTS#141,765$53Vol: $10,749
🌤️ WEATHER#3,287$279Vol: $2,705

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$86,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,219,514
Total Redeem
$133
Portfolio
$161
Predictions
1475
total markets
Trades
2652B / 1537S
Daily Volume
$341
Account Age
551d
since Nov 13, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$277
Vol: $5,773
Week
$277
Vol: $8,670
Month
$9,179
Vol: $265,477
All Time
$86,941
Vol: $3,219,514

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
199W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$109,572
Win Rate
99%
239W / 2L
Profit Factor
1818.39x
Avg Win
$461
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,560 (8.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$4,732
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$2,817
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$2,011
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$1,949
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1,924
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes $1,854
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,828
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1,780
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$1,721
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$1,612

Top Losers

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-45
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.859
Sortino
inf
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$876.086
Kelly %
99.1%
Half-Kelly
49.6%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 496s — typical for humanSize CV 1.38 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
9 entries
<=2
33 entries
<=5
94 entries
<=10
170 entries
<=20
231 entries
<=50
259 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)53.2%
High (>55c)22.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.1%

Other$106,406
Paris$3,557
Greater Beirut$252
Milan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
211

Single bracket

<=1
182 brackets
<=2
201 brackets
<=3
205 brackets
<=4
210 brackets
<=5
210 brackets
<=8
211 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/15/2025, 9:31:03 AM3 trades$543 min
1/15/2025, 5:03:50 PM1 trades$580 min
2/12/2025, 5:23:36 PM3 trades$1037 min
2/14/2025, 9:22:22 AM1 trades$1010 min
2/28/2025, 10:54:57 AM1 trades$150 min
2/28/2025, 12:20:35 PM1 trades$150 min
2/28/2025, 2:57:29 PM1 trades$70 min
2/28/2025, 3:15:01 PM2 trades$160 min
2/28/2025, 8:30:12 PM1 trades$330 min
2/28/2025, 8:56:35 PM3 trades$835 min
3/1/2025, 1:14:20 PM1 trades$10 min
3/2/2025, 3:47:06 PM1 trades$480 min
3/3/2025, 7:14:22 PM1 trades$1140 min
3/4/2025, 4:52:28 PM1 trades$160 min
3/4/2025, 5:44:21 PM2 trades$101 min
3/4/2025, 8:16:44 PM1 trades$90 min
3/5/2025, 9:42:01 AM1 trades$160 min
3/6/2025, 4:11:03 PM1 trades$690 min
3/6/2025, 4:44:03 PM1 trades$660 min
3/7/2025, 10:48:24 AM2 trades$822 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-30
09-30
12-14
02-14
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event