@PaoloGuerci

#2,809,4752

0x44243f4c7a9e78cf982604b50b1b370176dcf060

~7d· 7 markets · 12 tradesVol: $20,5202026-08-26 10:02:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (2/6)1.7/20
0.01x (win $3 / loss $299)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.7052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2734 (6 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 14466% of peak ($299 / $2)0/10

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,548,916$-182Vol: $20,257
🏛️ POLITICS#256,072$3Vol: $76
⚽ SPORTS#395,620$2Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-294
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,520
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
8B / 4S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $20
All Time
$-294
Vol: $20,520

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
2W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-295
Win Rate
33%
2W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.010693916349809885% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?$2
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 16?$-182
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-118

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.615
Sortino
-1.095
HHI
2839
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.740
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.2%
Top-5 markets
91.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
5/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
75%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
7
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)75% night trades — never sleeps5/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.67
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
2/16/2026, 8:13:21 AM2 trades$1820 min
2/15/2026, 2:54:47 AM1 trades$1180 min
2/14/2026, 3:27:25 PM1 trades$480 min
6/22/2026, 4:35:47 AM3 trades$360 min
5/14/2026, 5:13:20 AM2 trades$360 min
8/11/2026, 4:09:51 AM2 trades$200 min
3/19/2026, 5:58:41 AM1 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-15
02-16
03-19
05-14
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M0 / H75