@PatrickBailey763

#744,51290

0x38ae833185021d463f290a30c0a3b3a559f9244c

~59d· 155 markets · 580 tradesVol: $9,4522026-08-05 17:01:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (143/155)20/20
139.42x (win $7 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 21.71015/15
Sortino 994.28110/10
$+0.0018 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 91 (155 markets)10/10
48/50 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $7)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+1
Consistent
48/50 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#95,175$0Vol: $5,983
₿ CRYPTO#577,200$0Vol: $1,340
🎭 CULTURE#200,136$0Vol: $942
🏛️ POLITICS#700,190$-0Vol: $661
⚽ SPORTS#534,655$0Vol: $221
💰 FINANCE#325,595$0Vol: $188
📈 ECONOMICS#225,516$0Vol: $82
💻 TECH#118,994$0Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,452
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
155
total markets
Trades
335B / 245S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $31
Week
$1
Vol: $31
Month
$1
Vol: $31
All Time
$1
Vol: $9,452

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
143W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
92%
143W / 12L
Profit Factor
148.2x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (1.1846153846153846% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kash Patel out by July 31?$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0
Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 20?$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C or higher on July 27?$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?$0
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$0

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.125
Sortino
147.200
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
87.3%
Half-Kelly
43.6%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4758s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.4%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 8:29:38 AM9 trades$1054 min
7/30/2026, 7:37:48 PM10 trades$944 min
11/26/2025, 9:15:33 PM1 trades$910 min
7/19/2026, 7:39:18 PM2 trades$700 min
7/19/2026, 9:34:10 AM3 trades$600 min
5/7/2026, 9:42:28 PM6 trades$581 min
2/3/2026, 11:57:40 PM1 trades$520 min
5/9/2026, 9:54:12 AM4 trades$512 min
7/30/2026, 5:41:39 PM2 trades$490 min
5/2/2026, 7:00:40 PM5 trades$452 min
7/20/2026, 3:33:39 AM4 trades$450 min
7/19/2026, 7:48:07 PM2 trades$400 min
4/30/2026, 10:07:54 AM2 trades$400 min
5/14/2026, 6:11:17 AM4 trades$392 min
4/24/2026, 9:25:30 PM3 trades$380 min
5/3/2026, 5:14:34 AM2 trades$370 min
5/12/2026, 2:24:12 PM2 trades$360 min
5/13/2026, 12:21:13 PM2 trades$360 min
5/6/2026, 8:40:28 AM2 trades$350 min
6/3/2026, 5:45:52 AM2 trades$350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
04-28
05-07
05-15
05-31
07-01
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
62% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M0 / H99.4