Polydata

@Perfumed-Devastation

#2,822,84621

0x64f6f18af2db92021efcd0894f9a94dfa0fc15a2

98d· 4286 markets · 23361 tradesVol: $826,0852026-06-24T23:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 6%0/20
Profit Factor 0.90x1/15
HHI 410/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 231%0/10

Summary

Perfumed-Devastation is an active trader on Polymarket with 23,361 trades across 3,908 markets over 50 days. Despite a high trade volume totaling $826,085, the trader ranks low at #2,822,846 on the global PnL leaderboard, holding a net loss of $1,610.89 and a below-average Smart Score of 21/100. The portfolio value currently stands at zero, reflecting the ongoing downward equity trend.

This trader exclusively targets weather markets, employing an automated bot strategy as indicated by an 80/100 Bot Score. The trading style is highly contrarian with a 100% win rate reported, though the profit factor is zero, suggesting no realized gains. Perfumed-Devastation never sells positions and relies on dollar-cost averaging (DCA), reflecting a diamond hands approach with minimal risk mitigation or active profit-taking.

Perfumed-Devastation’s key strength lies in the commitment to automated, high-frequency trading in a niche market segment, which allows for consistent engagement. However, the persistent net losses, negative Sharpe ratio, and zero realized profits indicate significant risk and inefficiency in capitalizing on trades. The exclusive focus on weather markets and lack of diversification may also increase vulnerability to market-specific downturns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.0 entries/market
Weather Pro
100% weather
Bot
Score 80/100
Hedger
avg 5.4 brackets/event
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Consistent
31/40 days

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#283,861$-1,613Vol: $826,005
🎭 CULTURE#140,285$1Vol: $61
💰 FINANCE#180,440$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,611
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$826,085
Total Redeem
$1,653
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4286
total markets
Trades
23338B / 23S
Daily Volume
$261
Account Age
98d
since Mar 20, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,611
Vol: $826,085

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
25%
212W / 641L events
Realized PnL
$12,057
Win Rate
100%
18W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $586 (36.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on$198
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May$194
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 6?$194
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$192
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?$190
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$190
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?$114
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$92
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 6?$67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$47

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1828.9
Very active
Markets / Day
305.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
57s
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.0

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness1829 trades/day — automation306 markets/day — mass coverage4179 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA
<=1
1216 entries
<=2
1640 entries
<=5
2468 entries
<=10
3180 entries
<=20
3767 entries
<=50
3902 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Hong Kong$285
Buenos Aires$198
Atlanta$194
Lagos$194
Amsterdam$192
Tel Aviv$190
Moscow$114
Cape Town$67
Milan$47
Houston$44
Jakarta$21
Shanghai$21
Toronto$13
Karachi$10
Seoul$2
Wuhan$0
Beijing$0
Chengdu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
5.4
Events covered
722

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
40 brackets
<=2
93 brackets
<=3
166 brackets
<=4
254 brackets
<=5
353 brackets
<=8
666 brackets
>8
56 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 8:07:50 AM139 trades$4534 min
4/25/2026, 8:50:34 AM2 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 8:57:50 AM4 trades$74 min
4/25/2026, 9:11:32 AM2 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 9:19:16 AM17 trades$1119 min
4/25/2026, 9:44:46 AM1 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 9:50:46 AM9 trades$418 min
4/25/2026, 10:16:32 AM12 trades$724 min
4/25/2026, 10:46:36 AM6 trades$19 min
4/25/2026, 11:04:14 AM1 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 11:15:44 AM6 trades$28 min
4/25/2026, 11:29:44 AM3 trades$13 min
4/25/2026, 11:41:38 AM23 trades$18 min
4/25/2026, 12:02:00 PM1 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 12:09:22 PM3 trades$06 min
4/25/2026, 12:26:36 PM5 trades$02 min
4/25/2026, 12:56:08 PM5 trades$24 min
4/25/2026, 1:11:40 PM17 trades$431 min
4/25/2026, 1:56:24 PM3 trades$02 min
4/25/2026, 2:04:00 PM2 trades$01 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-26
04-01
04-07
04-24
04-30
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
99.9% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 5.4 br/event