Polydata

@Perypery

#4,16272

0x0a7aaf83341b52df34e8ffef52aa295538d6df1b

~483d· 4623 markets · 39965 tradesVol: $8,730,6502026-08-01 02:08:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (1809/4345)5.8/20
1.57x (win $136,971 / loss $87,303)9.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.49515/15
Sortino 4.72710/10
$+0.1123 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 51 (4345 markets)10/10
256/459 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($11,537 / $58,633)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+41,493
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Whale
$442,153 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,316$18,616Vol: $5,103,777
💰 FINANCE#860$6,332Vol: $985,840
🎭 CULTURE#1,034$7,960Vol: $700,225
CRYPTO#19,122$2,190Vol: $700,078
📈 ECONOMICS#966$5,562Vol: $442,580
SPORTS#1,860,954$-2,577Vol: $306,516
💻 TECH#861$1,946Vol: $289,781
📢 MENTIONS#2,071$541Vol: $87,521
🌤️ WEATHER#1,811$852Vol: $39,219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$41,525
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,730,650
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4623
total markets
Trades
26971B / 12994S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~483d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $2,276
Week
$-239
Vol: $77,042
Month
$32
Vol: $2,276
All Time
$41,525
Vol: $8,730,650

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
1810W / 2534L events
Realized PnL
$41,493
Win Rate
42%
1810W / 2534L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,174 (0.9441067197257585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$19,556
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$15,433
India military action against Pakistan before June?$4,185
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?$3,597
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3,217
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$2,255
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2,243
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1,995
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1,884
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1,468

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$-3,279
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$-2,781
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,981
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-1,597
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?$-1,575
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$-1,532
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$-1,488
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-1,242
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-1,025
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-918

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.078
Sortino
0.176
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
81.2
Very active
Markets / Day
9.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 5.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock81 trades/day — mass trading9.4 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 3:00:33 PM33 trades$28,3161 min
3/31/2026, 10:25:35 PM25 trades$11,9779 min
4/28/2026, 10:38:32 AM54 trades$10,67420 min
5/6/2025, 8:27:00 PM5 trades$7,7638 min
1/22/2026, 3:17:46 PM21 trades$6,87213 min
4/28/2026, 1:30:12 PM12 trades$5,7397 min
5/13/2026, 9:13:48 PM2 trades$4,5000 min
4/28/2026, 3:51:22 PM9 trades$4,2733 min
5/26/2026, 12:16:07 AM7 trades$3,9492 min
4/7/2026, 2:49:35 AM3 trades$3,7360 min
3/3/2026, 3:39:39 PM11 trades$3,68110 min
7/10/2025, 3:54:54 PM15 trades$3,67412 min
4/5/2026, 2:13:31 PM4 trades$3,5135 min
1/2/2026, 7:38:55 PM12 trades$3,4579 min
7/30/2026, 12:44:23 PM28 trades$3,1884 min
12/30/2025, 3:43:31 AM22 trades$2,78135 min
8/31/2025, 2:16:30 PM6 trades$2,6303 min
10/6/2025, 1:03:43 AM3 trades$2,5680 min
11/7/2025, 9:26:31 AM3 trades$2,5300 min
4/8/2026, 1:52:47 AM6 trades$2,5062 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
07-05
09-23
12-09
02-23
05-10
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.7 / M10.5 / H16.8