@Philolaus
#3,056,141100xae5284ce0a6df017ebfa6b987da01c5bb635405c
~63d· 152 markets · 691 tradesVol: $129,3192026-08-26 09:12:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (45/147)0.3/20
0.49x (win $2,914 / loss $5,910)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8220/15
Sortino -6.6400/10
$-0.2224 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 655 (147 markets)9.2/10
6/43 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 1600% of peak ($3,196 / $200)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,667$-1,977Vol: $104,759
⚽ SPORTS#1,827,795$-733Vol: $9,633
💰 FINANCE#53,086$11Vol: $4,623
₿ CRYPTO#1,456,928$-76Vol: $4,556
🎭 CULTURE#695,399$-10Vol: $3,333
💻 TECH#228,373$-8Vol: $1,216
🌤️ WEATHER#268,871$-25Vol: $1,175
📈 ECONOMICS#265,933$0Vol: $23
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,816
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,319
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
363B / 328S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-106
Vol: $2,639
All Time
$-2,816
Vol: $129,319
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
45W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-2,816
Win Rate
31%
45W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-60
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,947 (0.6914237011257501% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$806
Iran strike on US military by February 28?$613
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$528
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$90
Valencia vs. Barcelona$86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$60
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$58
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?$52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$50
Top Losers
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-631
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$-447
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$-406
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$-315
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-252
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$-239
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-234
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-234
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$-220
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$-216
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.397
HHI
847
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.211
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
56.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 368s — normal for humanCV 3.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)49.9%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)20.4%
Sessions
#124/21/2026, 8:56:14 PM26 trades$3,0192 min
4/21/2026, 5:01:12 PM6 trades$1,9100 min
4/12/2026, 10:01:35 PM12 trades$1,4110 min
4/19/2026, 5:23:50 PM23 trades$1,1483 min
4/13/2026, 5:13:27 PM18 trades$1,0590 min
2/28/2026, 8:01:53 AM1 trades$1,0010 min
5/9/2026, 11:08:37 PM3 trades$9330 min
4/19/2026, 6:01:50 PM15 trades$9173 min
2/28/2026, 11:16:37 AM1 trades$7630 min
7/2/2026, 8:03:10 PM15 trades$7400 min
1/24/2026, 12:05:24 AM1 trades$7340 min
4/23/2026, 5:36:30 PM10 trades$6264 min
1/24/2026, 10:16:02 AM2 trades$6231 min
7/3/2026, 11:38:44 PM3 trades$5960 min
4/22/2026, 2:33:38 PM4 trades$5682 min
5/2/2026, 12:25:22 PM10 trades$5470 min
4/21/2026, 5:23:22 PM5 trades$4110 min
5/2/2026, 1:53:20 PM4 trades$4003 min
4/30/2026, 11:19:50 PM22 trades$3972 min
1/25/2026, 6:30:36 PM1 trades$3000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-28
03-10
03-23
04-07
04-30
08-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 161 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.9 / M29.8 / H20.4