Poivre

@Poivre

#19,24616

0x714f682e577a6892ee921290fd6ad213d11266d5

~223d· 1049 markets · 5911 tradesVol: $611,1522026-08-04 19:48:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (341/951)2.9/20
0.71x (win $47,633 / loss $66,724)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9030/15
Sortino -0.9230/10
$-0.1731 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 165 (951 markets)10/10
83/190 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 231% of peak ($36,640 / $15,882)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+7,101
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$110,272 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#6,078$5,279Vol: $261,796
SPORTS#43,112$812Vol: $108,286
CRYPTO#1,615,117$-934Vol: $106,795
📢 MENTIONS#7,531$70Vol: $44,078
💻 TECH#778$2,213Vol: $43,359
💰 FINANCE#655,224$-1,392Vol: $22,496
🎭 CULTURE#6,317$715Vol: $17,810
📈 ECONOMICS#40,389$11Vol: $3,220
🌤️ WEATHER#285,741$-106Vol: $2,488

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,101
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$611,152
Total Redeem
$2,081
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1049
total markets
Trades
3032B / 2879S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~223d

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $2,331
Week
$24
Vol: $4,614
Month
$-118
Vol: $5,064
All Time
$7,101
Vol: $611,152

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
341W / 610L events
Realized PnL
$7,101
Win Rate
36%
341W / 610L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$140
Avg Loss
$-113

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,910 (0.973072118898382% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2,996
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$2,381
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$1,532
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,402
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$1,264
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,147
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,122
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1,067
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1,045
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1,017

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-23,607
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,880
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$-2,073
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-1,620
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-792
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-641
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-638
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-510
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-499
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-492

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
356
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.151
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
34%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 402s — normal for humanCV 4.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active3.5 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.9%
Mid (20-55c)44%
High (>55c)23%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:24:25 AM18 trades$6,8420 min
6/7/2026, 9:18:48 PM39 trades$6,82811 min
6/12/2026, 6:37:27 PM28 trades$4,9184 min
2/22/2026, 4:22:56 PM1 trades$4,0220 min
7/29/2026, 8:32:08 AM11 trades$3,7590 min
6/7/2026, 10:52:52 PM5 trades$3,4521 min
6/4/2026, 4:24:39 PM73 trades$2,87720 min
7/1/2026, 7:53:17 PM2 trades$2,4800 min
6/13/2026, 3:51:31 AM2 trades$2,2800 min
2/23/2026, 12:41:22 PM2 trades$2,2481 min
7/16/2026, 12:22:50 PM21 trades$2,1263 min
2/24/2026, 11:08:16 PM1 trades$2,1250 min
6/12/2026, 12:47:28 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/9/2026, 8:17:54 AM2 trades$1,7330 min
2/25/2026, 9:22:30 PM39 trades$1,61817 min
7/5/2026, 12:22:23 PM4 trades$1,5901 min
5/17/2026, 2:52:03 PM5 trades$1,4801 min
4/24/2026, 6:01:16 PM4 trades$1,4660 min
7/5/2026, 11:54:47 AM22 trades$1,3013 min
6/11/2026, 8:17:49 PM6 trades$1,2743 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
01-17
02-18
03-23
04-30
06-12
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.92/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.9 / M44 / H23