@PragMax

#2,929,52410

0xf9f2c4bb33c907a5ad695e3da747e10bafc6c27c

~37d· 101 markets · 661 tradesVol: $55,6762026-08-23 15:17:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (24/98)0/20
0.59x (win $805 / loss $1,362)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9680/15
Sortino -5.1750/10
$-0.2168 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 372 (98 markets)10/10
10/33 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 867% of peak ($671 / $77)0/10

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#300,862$-772Vol: $55,342
🏛️ POLITICS#105,452$36Vol: $276
⚽ SPORTS#1,530,220$-30Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-766
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
174B / 487S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$-155
Vol: $0
Month
$-210
Vol: $21,665
All Time
$-766
Vol: $55,676

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
24W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-766
Win Rate
24%
24W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $425 (0.5552189695244562% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?$260
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?$87
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$79
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?$62
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$58
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?$46
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?$37
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$27
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?$21
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?$20

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$-207
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-124
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$-105
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?$-58
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?$-51
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?$-49
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?$-47
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.256
Sortino
-0.257
HHI
337
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
30.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1230s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 4:06:52 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/4/2026, 7:34:01 PM14 trades$3470 min
6/5/2026, 8:25:25 PM5 trades$3060 min
6/6/2026, 10:53:09 AM11 trades$2834 min
6/6/2026, 10:35:37 AM7 trades$2550 min
5/27/2026, 7:20:02 PM11 trades$2382 min
8/22/2026, 5:58:12 PM13 trades$2334 min
6/17/2026, 3:34:25 PM10 trades$2251 min
6/6/2026, 11:13:18 AM2 trades$2110 min
6/5/2026, 12:55:51 PM20 trades$2022 min
7/18/2026, 1:13:55 PM12 trades$1940 min
6/5/2026, 11:04:18 AM3 trades$1920 min
8/18/2026, 9:23:30 PM3 trades$1820 min
6/6/2026, 10:41:57 AM4 trades$1780 min
6/14/2026, 2:53:39 PM6 trades$1671 min
6/13/2026, 4:52:54 PM2 trades$1660 min
6/8/2026, 6:46:45 PM10 trades$1644 min
6/15/2026, 4:00:33 PM4 trades$1640 min
6/8/2026, 4:00:01 PM2 trades$1390 min
6/12/2026, 6:29:10 PM11 trades$1353 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-08
06-14
06-19
06-29
07-19
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M26.4 / H52.3