Polydata
PredictionYogi

@PredictionYogi

#2,56942

0x69645cea639e7a19cbde6c126a197bc1abafef53

~446d· 2835 markets · 78572 tradesVol: $34,703,085 @PredictionYogi2026-07-31 15:33:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (2137/2826)20/20
1.00x (win $802,185 / loss $802,871)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0120/15
Sortino -0.0130/10
$-0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 24 (2826 markets)10/10
319/417 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 149% of peak ($102,962 / $68,906)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+72,305
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 27.7 entries/market
Whale
$13,223,056 invested
Consistent
319/417 profitable days
High Roller
$23,697/day
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#83$72,158Vol: $24,395,070
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,960$-3,315Vol: $3,915,111
CRYPTO#24,245$1,517Vol: $2,840,078
🌤️ WEATHER#656$3,001Vol: $1,227,581
SPORTS#1,835,681$-1,241Vol: $1,003,549
💻 TECH#254,914$-513Vol: $565,990
💰 FINANCE#13,665$168Vol: $333,563
📢 MENTIONS#3,510$253Vol: $233,204
📈 ECONOMICS#11,496$119Vol: $75,057

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$72,381
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,703,085
Total Redeem
$371,168
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2835
total markets
Trades
51055B / 27517S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~446d

Periods

#2
Today
$260
Vol: $47,956
Week
$853
Vol: $167,640
Month
$3,871
Vol: $814,219
All Time
$72,381
Vol: $34,703,085

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
76%
2137W / 689L events
Realized PnL
$72,305
Win Rate
76%
2137W / 689L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$375
Avg Loss
$-1,293

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62,243 (0.8608386901277181% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$21,448
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$20,845
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$19,950
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$19,946
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$18,217
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$17,471
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$16,000
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$15,146
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$13,551
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$12,262

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-23,490
Will Trump dance today?$-16,896
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$-16,033
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-15,251
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-14,920
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-13,904
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$-11,328
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-10,995
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-10,915
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$-10,713

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.000
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
140.8
Very active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock141 trades/day — automation5.1 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.74
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)46.4%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 5:28:15 AM87 trades$123,18654 min
12/30/2025, 4:57:27 AM151 trades$79,56322 min
1/26/2026, 3:52:31 PM134 trades$78,85147 min
12/9/2025, 3:45:14 PM184 trades$75,02663 min
2/6/2026, 4:32:49 PM23 trades$66,88113 min
4/8/2026, 3:13:35 AM3 trades$66,0452 min
6/23/2026, 3:00:10 PM80 trades$65,10920 min
12/4/2025, 3:36:31 AM10 trades$63,43011 min
6/12/2026, 3:51:19 PM56 trades$60,6979 min
4/3/2026, 3:21:21 PM221 trades$56,98444 min
11/13/2025, 5:31:32 AM6 trades$51,5743 min
3/17/2026, 3:13:27 PM124 trades$46,78655 min
1/15/2026, 3:18:00 AM26 trades$46,50221 min
4/4/2026, 5:52:57 AM3 trades$46,1631 min
10/30/2025, 2:57:11 AM84 trades$45,85365 min
1/19/2026, 3:49:32 PM191 trades$45,31241 min
1/19/2026, 4:50:16 PM37 trades$42,80510 min
1/17/2026, 4:39:14 PM38 trades$40,94822 min
11/13/2025, 6:11:42 AM27 trades$40,8438 min
1/23/2026, 4:27:38 PM52 trades$39,06930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
05-21
08-19
12-07
02-16
05-07
07-29
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32 / M21.6 / H46.4