@Predilictionist

#3,041,88328

0xc85f77ffb48f05ee9568cdafa4d5a952073d15f8

~230d· 1054 markets · 5435 tradesVol: $510,1352026-08-03 17:38:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (607/1053)13.8/20
0.96x (win $45,240 / loss $47,077)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4110/15
Sortino -0.7070/10
$-0.0141 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 33 (1053 markets)10/10
84/213 profitable days (39%)2.4/10
Max DD 732% of peak ($6,895 / $942)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$130,083 invested
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,866,533$-3,565Vol: $469,837
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,458$-299Vol: $14,533
CRYPTO#1,594,022$-558Vol: $6,129
🎭 CULTURE#778,139$-87Vol: $3,806
📢 MENTIONS#30,851$3Vol: $3,422
📈 ECONOMICS#15,416$68Vol: $1,262
💻 TECH#17,906$10Vol: $577
💰 FINANCE#616,797$-47Vol: $503

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,057
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$510,135
Total Redeem
$2,890
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1054
total markets
Trades
2901B / 2534S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~230d

Periods

#2
Month
$-339
Vol: $11,948
All Time
$-5,057
Vol: $510,135

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
607W / 446L events
Realized PnL
$-5,057
Win Rate
58%
607W / 446L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,384 (0.6692717190973018% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: France (-2.5)$1,290
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$1,216
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$879
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$868
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?$828
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?$815
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$782
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$749
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$739
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan$682

Top Losers

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-1,858
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?$-1,456
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)$-1,118
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?$-982
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-860
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$-827
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-755
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-720
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$-627
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score$-624

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.2m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)36.1%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 5:54:46 PM34 trades$3,75911 min
4/28/2026, 8:21:00 PM12 trades$3,3334 min
4/9/2026, 1:11:07 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/25/2026, 6:56:16 PM19 trades$2,4933 min
4/25/2026, 10:27:42 AM29 trades$2,4928 min
4/25/2026, 3:51:50 PM4 trades$2,3870 min
5/1/2026, 1:19:22 AM5 trades$2,2981 min
5/1/2026, 1:37:10 AM10 trades$2,2872 min
4/25/2026, 2:32:42 PM8 trades$2,2212 min
4/26/2026, 5:37:40 PM19 trades$2,1979 min
4/25/2026, 7:19:34 PM4 trades$1,9780 min
4/11/2026, 1:40:11 PM2 trades$1,8970 min
4/26/2026, 2:01:34 PM9 trades$1,7692 min
4/25/2026, 1:27:52 PM2 trades$1,7510 min
4/5/2026, 2:56:35 PM11 trades$1,73210 min
6/28/2026, 2:25:10 PM66 trades$1,52610 min
4/26/2026, 8:16:54 PM2 trades$1,4490 min
4/24/2026, 9:03:16 PM2 trades$1,3610 min
4/10/2026, 8:59:27 PM2 trades$1,3530 min
4/25/2026, 12:33:04 AM6 trades$1,3191 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
06-25
11-01
12-27
02-25
04-22
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 154 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M36.1 / H52.4