Polydata

@Prize-Firewall

#2,917,10978

0xc37141e2aadfa26655bf039cacdc239c9da21e28

218d· 7582 markets · 9240 tradesVol: $6,617,0792026-06-25T16:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 22%0/20
Profit Factor 14.91x15/15
Sharpe 0.72114/15
Sortino 2.45110/10
EV $+13.34910/10
HHI 29510/10
Profit Days 68%9/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Prize-Firewall is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having made 9,240 trades across 1,476 markets over 334 days. Despite a high volume of $6.6 million traded, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of nearly $140,000, placing them low on the global leaderboard at rank #2,917,109. Their portfolio value remains stable around $1,060, supported by a very good Smart Score of 78/100.

This trader exhibits a high win rate of 86.5% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.79, indicating frequent but small gains relative to losses. Prize-Firewall appears to favor a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging approach, as reflected in badges like Contrarian and DCA Master, and has minimal sell activity at just 1%. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.72 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the strategy leans towards steady, frequent entries rather than high-risk or speculative timing.

Key strengths for Prize-Firewall include consistency in winning trades and disciplined entry patterns, which contribute to a stable equity trend and no prolonged drawdown periods. However, the substantial negative net PnL and profit factor below 1 highlight potential issues with trade sizing or exit timing. While the semi-bot style may help maintain discipline, there is a risk that small gains fail to offset occasional larger losses, limiting overall profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.2 entries/market
Win Streak
35 wins in a row
Whale
$61,135
Consistent
82/121 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,751,923$-82,550Vol: $4,235,449
🏛️ POLITICS#1,524,081$-174Vol: $127,700
CRYPTO#1,582,434$-2,128Vol: $82,690
📈 ECONOMICS#6,854$230Vol: $29,270
🎭 CULTURE#18,686$116Vol: $6,372
📢 MENTIONS#3,713$220Vol: $2,155
💰 FINANCE#520,352$-4Vol: $629
🌤️ WEATHER#12,005$32Vol: $152

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-139,902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,617,079
Total Redeem
$12,970
Portfolio
$1,061
Predictions
7582
total markets
Trades
9179B / 61S
Daily Volume
$183
Account Age
218d
since Nov 20, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-31
Vol: $0
Month
$-4,926
Vol: $11,362
All Time
$-139,902
Vol: $6,617,079

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
21%
286W / 1103L events
Realized PnL
$377,917
Win Rate
86%
275W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-184

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,117
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$252
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series $180
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$178
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$92
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Ameri$73
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$71
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$39

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,856
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,465
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qu$-211
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.721
Sortino
2.451
HHI
295
Diversified
EV per $1
$13.348
Kelly %
74.9%
Half-Kelly
37.5%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.0
Active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 3.93 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high1417 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA
<=1
945 entries
<=2
1188 entries
<=5
1332 entries
<=10
1377 entries
<=20
1406 entries
<=50
1445 entries
>50
31 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)45.4%
High (>55c)38.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.4%

Miami$0
Seattle$0
Madrid$0
Paris$0
Chicago$0
Atlanta$0
San Francisco$0
Houston$0
Los Angeles$0
Lucknow$0
Toronto$0
Other$-1,595

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1459

Single bracket

<=1
1449 brackets
<=2
1454 brackets
<=3
1457 brackets
<=4
1459 brackets
<=5
1459 brackets
<=8
1459 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/6/2025, 6:39:47 AM5 trades$100 min
12/6/2025, 2:09:39 PM1 trades$20 min
1/2/2026, 2:11:49 AM1 trades$20 min
1/2/2026, 8:54:11 PM1 trades$10 min
1/3/2026, 9:53:27 PM1 trades$80 min
3/2/2026, 12:49:09 AM1 trades$10 min
3/2/2026, 2:09:15 AM1 trades$10 min
3/9/2026, 2:41:53 AM27 trades$43025 min
3/9/2026, 12:16:03 PM2 trades$170 min
3/9/2026, 2:14:57 PM1 trades$120 min
3/9/2026, 11:08:57 PM6 trades$235 min
3/9/2026, 11:25:29 PM6 trades$647 min
3/9/2026, 11:40:41 PM1 trades$110 min
3/10/2026, 1:01:47 AM5 trades$274 min
3/10/2026, 1:32:57 AM17 trades$18518 min
3/10/2026, 1:59:15 AM1 trades$100 min
3/10/2026, 2:22:05 AM26 trades$20116 min
3/10/2026, 2:44:15 AM1 trades$20 min
3/10/2026, 4:35:17 AM4 trades$301 min
3/10/2026, 5:11:45 AM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-24
03-17
04-07
04-29
05-21
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event