@QMG-SCALAR

#10,14187

0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b

~213d· 141 markets · 2829 tradesVol: $1,450,2102026-08-06 08:00:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (119/130)20/20
2.90x (win $22,228 / loss $7,668)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.37115/15
Sortino 5.41210/10
$+0.0135 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 280 (130 markets)10/10
82/86 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($5,370 / $14,560)6.6/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+15,161
DCA Master
Avg 24.3 entries/market
Whale
$1,075,685 invested
Consistent
82/86 profitable days
High Roller
$2,178/day
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#980$5,533Vol: $638,708
🏛️ POLITICS#6,346$4,970Vol: $459,509
💰 FINANCE#3,633$1,213Vol: $166,774
₿ CRYPTO#18,601$2,289Vol: $84,397
🎭 CULTURE#15,045$174Vol: $40,689
🌤️ WEATHER#2,319$578Vol: $40,061
⚽ SPORTS#63,725$393Vol: $19,071
💻 TECH#17,277$11Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,450,210
Total Redeem
$39,427
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
1907B / 922S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~213d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $1,343
Week
$363
Vol: $31,582
Month
$469
Vol: $31,583
All Time
$15,161
Vol: $1,450,210

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
119W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$15,161
Win Rate
92%
119W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.9x
Avg Win
$187
Avg Loss
$-1,095

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,913 (0.32404350103093327% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2,001
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,667
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,245
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,130
Trump out as President by June 30?$1,102
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$960
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$793
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$740
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$710
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$670

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5,230
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$-1,830
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-411
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.227
Sortino
0.065
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)97.9%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 11:08:06 AM16 trades$24,7473 min
4/13/2026, 11:04:45 AM25 trades$21,2304 min
6/16/2026, 10:07:13 AM4 trades$20,0001 min
3/30/2026, 4:44:21 PM3 trades$14,9751 min
1/10/2026, 6:02:48 PM2 trades$14,9202 min
3/31/2026, 8:36:03 AM5 trades$14,3657 min
6/28/2026, 6:41:16 PM7 trades$14,0784 min
2/17/2026, 7:41:11 PM2 trades$12,4901 min
2/20/2026, 6:30:38 AM2 trades$12,2032 min
7/16/2026, 4:16:26 PM6 trades$12,0721 min
11/20/2025, 10:29:17 PM3 trades$12,0403 min
3/19/2026, 12:21:55 PM5 trades$11,2866 min
7/29/2026, 4:53:56 PM8 trades$10,4271 min
12/19/2025, 12:08:21 AM2 trades$10,0764 min
1/13/2026, 5:10:57 AM3 trades$10,0542 min
7/14/2026, 9:58:22 AM4 trades$10,0002 min
7/27/2026, 12:08:30 PM4 trades$10,0000 min
4/22/2025, 2:28:08 PM2 trades$9,9982 min
6/25/2026, 8:45:01 AM5 trades$9,9901 min
6/24/2026, 10:53:01 AM3 trades$9,9700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
12-12
02-17
04-23
05-28
06-22
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M0.4 / H97.9