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Queasy-Cougar

@Queasy-Cougar

#1,03792

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8

532d· 3281 markets · 8050 tradesVol: $17,592,794 @holy_moses72026-05-15T14:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 82%20/20
Profit Factor 14.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.3837/15
Sortino 19.71010/10
EV $+3.46810/10
HHI 51910/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Queasy-Cougar is an active Polymarket trader with a strong presence, ranking #1037 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 753 days of trading, they have executed 8,050 trades across 261 markets, generating a net profit of $147,593.76 on a total volume of $17.6 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $185,361.03, supported by an elite Smart Score of 92/100, indicating high overall trading skill and consistency.

The trading strategy of Queasy-Cougar appears to be diversified and moderately aggressive. With a win rate of 35.3% and a profit factor of 0.50, they often take contrarian positions, as suggested by their badges like "Contrarian" and "Sniper." They tend to sell 41% of their positions, indicating active risk management rather than buy-and-hold. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.38 and a flat equity trend suggest moderate returns with low volatility. The trader shows no activity in weather markets and maintains a human-like trading pattern with a low bot score.

Queasy-Cougar’s key strengths include their high Smart Score and stable equity trend, reflecting disciplined execution and good market timing. However, their relatively low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio highlight potential challenges in sustaining profitability. The flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration suggest low exposure to prolonged risk but also limited upside momentum. Overall, Queasy-Cougar demonstrates consistent performance on Polymarket with a cautious but opportunistic trading style.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+147,594
Lottery Player
39% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$1,527,982
Consistent
102/106 days
High Roller
$2,029/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#527$86,791Vol: $11,549,652
🎭 CULTURE#301$23,938Vol: $3,826,579
📈 ECONOMICS#255$24,857Vol: $874,846
💰 FINANCE#1,447$2,990Vol: $262,628
💻 TECH#1,113$1,124Vol: $259,962
SPORTS#16,488$2,295Vol: $259,644
CRYPTO#13,226$3,119Vol: $197,139
🌤️ WEATHER#3,119$297Vol: $38,590
📢 MENTIONS#2,906$305Vol: $26,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$147,594
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,592,794
Total Redeem
$642,260
Portfolio
$185,361
Predictions
3281
total markets
Trades
4764B / 3286S
Daily Volume
$2,029
Account Age
532d
since Dec 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$57
Vol: $4,821
Week
$276
Vol: $71,352
Month
$1,988
Vol: $129,898
All Time
$147,594
Vol: $17,592,794

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
200W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$649,509
Win Rate
35%
55W / 101L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$6,468
Avg Loss
$-7,107

Top Winners

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$179,202
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$80,406
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$47,935
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026$17,254
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5,226
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$3,387
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on $2,638
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026$2,479
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1,881
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–J$1,394

Top Losers

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parl$-89,044
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-80,272
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-79,208
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-59,894
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?$-53,316
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-43,985
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-25,174
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on $-20,090
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?$-16,372
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-14,515

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.383
Sortino
19.709
HHI
519
Moderate
EV per $1
$3.469
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
42.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.9m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 9.80 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness17 trades/day — very active368 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
41 entries
<=2
69 entries
<=5
94 entries
<=10
130 entries
<=20
158 entries
<=50
203 entries
>50
22 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.9%
High (>55c)47.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 56%

Madrid$4
Ambongo Besungu$-5,570
New York City$-35,704
Other$-320,807

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
129

Moderate coverage

<=1
87 brackets
<=2
104 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
116 brackets
<=5
119 brackets
<=8
126 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2025, 11:27:28 PM1 trades$6200 min
2/3/2025, 10:19:08 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2025, 5:09:43 PM1 trades$1310 min
2/5/2025, 7:32:50 PM1 trades$180 min
2/6/2025, 12:26:42 AM1 trades$350 min
2/6/2025, 2:28:41 AM1 trades$310 min
2/7/2025, 12:04:55 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 12:12:17 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 2:39:26 AM1 trades$60 min
2/7/2025, 8:06:35 AM1 trades$260 min
2/7/2025, 11:16:50 AM1 trades$930 min
2/9/2025, 5:06:12 PM1 trades$1380 min
2/9/2025, 7:05:16 PM1 trades$370 min
2/10/2025, 3:15:56 PM3 trades$150 min
2/11/2025, 10:27:46 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/11/2025, 10:08:05 PM4 trades$1052 min
2/11/2025, 10:30:51 PM2 trades$930 min
2/12/2025, 4:13:06 PM2 trades$550 min
2/22/2025, 9:26:57 PM1 trades$200 min
2/24/2025, 6:28:45 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-04
07-18
09-30
01-05
04-12
05-21
10-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event