Polydata
Data is 10 days old — refreshing in background...
Queasy-Cougar

@Queasy-Cougar

#1,19992

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8

577d· 3441 markets · 9713 tradesVol: $18,511,233 @holy_moses72026-06-26T00:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 11.14x15/15
Sharpe 0.3867/15
Sortino 998.01510/10
EV $+3.43710/10
HHI 57110/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Queasy-Cougar is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1199 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $151,016.63. Over 753 days, they have executed 9,713 trades across 312 markets, accumulating a total volume of $18.5 million. Their portfolio value stands at $190,805.99, supported by a Smart Score of 92/100, indicating elite trading skill and consistency.

The trading style of Queasy-Cougar shows a preference for diverse markets, excluding weather-related ones, with a moderate win rate of 47% and a profit factor of 0.42. The trader exhibits a contrarian and sniper approach, combined with dollar-cost averaging techniques, reflected in a 39% sell rate and a stable equity trend. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.39 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the lack of drawdown duration points to effective risk management. Activity appears continuous rather than concentrated in short bursts, suggesting steady market engagement.

Key strengths for Queasy-Cougar include strong discipline indicated by stable portfolio equity and elite Smart Score credentials on Polymarket. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio imply limited profitability per trade and moderate risk exposure. Additionally, the 47% win rate and frequent trading raise concerns about transaction costs and potential overtrading effects. Overall, Queasy-Cougar demonstrates consistent, disciplined trading with moderate returns and manageable risk.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+151,017
Lottery Player
46% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 20.5 entries/market
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
Whale
$1,335,020
Consistent
104/106 days
High Roller
$1,773/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#570$87,938Vol: $12,207,932
🎭 CULTURE#311$24,383Vol: $3,846,292
📈 ECONOMICS#257$26,044Vol: $925,034
CRYPTO#12,269$3,664Vol: $378,359
💰 FINANCE#1,609$2,998Vol: $265,697
💻 TECH#1,214$1,124Vol: $259,962
SPORTS#53,493$469Vol: $234,028
🌤️ WEATHER#3,537$297Vol: $38,590
📢 MENTIONS#3,044$305Vol: $26,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$151,017
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,511,233
Total Redeem
$386,373
Portfolio
$190,806
Predictions
3441
total markets
Trades
5908B / 3805S
Daily Volume
$1,773
Account Age
577d
since Dec 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$230
Vol: $54,236
Week
$1,702
Vol: $189,359
Month
$3,464
Vol: $771,961
All Time
$151,017
Vol: $18,511,233

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
206W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$650,624
Win Rate
47%
95W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$3,179
Avg Loss
$-6,744

Top Winners

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$206,702
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$47,935
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026$17,254
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5,226
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$3,387
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on $2,638
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026$2,330
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1,881
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–J$1,394
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect$1,290

Top Losers

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parl$-89,044
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-80,272
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-79,208
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-59,894
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?$-53,316
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-43,985
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-25,174
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on $-20,090
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?$-16,372
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-14,515

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.386
Sortino
998.015
HHI
571
Moderate
EV per $1
$3.437
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.9m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
15.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — typical for humanSize CV 15.61 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness19 trades/day — very active361 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
79 entries
<=2
119 entries
<=5
158 entries
<=10
191 entries
<=20
218 entries
<=50
260 entries
>50
28 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)41.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.6%

Netanyahu$0
Los Angeles$0
Ambongo Besungu$-5,570
New York City$-23,951
Other$-390,115

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
146

Moderate coverage

<=1
98 brackets
<=2
113 brackets
<=3
122 brackets
<=4
130 brackets
<=5
137 brackets
<=8
142 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2025, 11:27:28 PM1 trades$6200 min
2/3/2025, 10:19:08 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2025, 5:09:43 PM1 trades$1310 min
2/5/2025, 7:32:50 PM1 trades$180 min
2/6/2025, 12:26:42 AM1 trades$350 min
2/6/2025, 2:28:41 AM1 trades$310 min
2/7/2025, 12:04:55 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 12:12:17 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 2:39:26 AM1 trades$60 min
2/7/2025, 8:06:35 AM1 trades$260 min
2/7/2025, 11:16:50 AM1 trades$930 min
2/9/2025, 5:06:12 PM1 trades$1380 min
2/9/2025, 7:05:16 PM1 trades$370 min
2/10/2025, 3:15:56 PM3 trades$150 min
2/11/2025, 10:27:46 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/11/2025, 10:08:05 PM4 trades$1052 min
2/11/2025, 10:30:51 PM2 trades$930 min
2/12/2025, 4:13:06 PM2 trades$550 min
2/22/2025, 9:26:57 PM1 trades$200 min
2/24/2025, 6:28:45 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-04
07-18
10-19
01-06
04-15
11-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event