Polydata
Queasy-Cougar

@Queasy-Cougar

#1,22592

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8

578d· 3452 markets · 9413 tradesVol: $18,739,046 @holy_moses72026-07-05T19:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 84%20/20
Profit Factor 11.61x15/15
Sharpe 0.3927/15
Sortino 180.17110/10
EV $+3.36710/10
HHI 57110/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Queasy-Cougar is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1225 globally by net profit and holding an elite Smart Score of 92. Over 753 days, they executed 9,413 trades across 238 markets, generating a net PnL of $153,666 on a total volume near $18.7 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at about $195,000, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.39 indicating modest risk-adjusted returns.

This trader demonstrates a contrarian and sniper-style approach, favoring selective entries rather than frequent trading, as seen by their 33.5% win rate and a relatively low profit factor of 0.10. Queasy-Cougar does not participate in weather markets and tends to hold positions without significant drawdown duration, suggesting timely exits. Their sell percentage of 39% reflects a balanced mix of taking profits and cutting losses, while the stable equity trend points to consistent performance over time.

Key strengths of Queasy-Cougar include disciplined risk management and an ability to maintain a win streak despite a low overall win rate, indicating that profits likely come from larger, well-timed trades. However, the low profit factor and Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside relative to risk, and reliance on contrarian bets can expose the trader to sudden market reversals. Overall, Queasy-Cougar’s data portrays a steady, tactical trader with room to improve efficiency on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+153,666
Lottery Player
40% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$1,335,603
Consistent
101/104 days
High Roller
$1,774/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#568$87,965Vol: $12,334,493
🎭 CULTURE#315$24,383Vol: $3,846,292
📈 ECONOMICS#240$28,665Vol: $1,026,287
CRYPTO#12,387$3,664Vol: $378,359
💰 FINANCE#1,620$3,000Vol: $265,697
💻 TECH#1,229$1,124Vol: $259,962
SPORTS#56,185$469Vol: $234,028
🌤️ WEATHER#3,635$297Vol: $38,590
📢 MENTIONS#3,053$305Vol: $26,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$153,666
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,739,046
Total Redeem
$185,261
Portfolio
$195,216
Predictions
3452
total markets
Trades
5730B / 3683S
Daily Volume
$1,774
Account Age
578d
since Dec 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $632
Week
$970
Vol: $632
Month
$865
Vol: $100,986
All Time
$153,666
Vol: $18,739,046

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
194W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$653,798
Win Rate
34%
56W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$1,679
Avg Loss
$-8,167

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$47,935
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026$17,254
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5,226
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$3,382
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on $2,638
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026$2,330
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1,881
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–J$1,394
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect$1,290
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$1,156

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-180,675
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parl$-89,044
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-80,272
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-78,908
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-59,894
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?$-53,316
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-43,985
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-25,174
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on $-20,090
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?$-16,372

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.392
Sortino
180.172
HHI
571
Moderate
EV per $1
$3.367
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
43.6m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
15.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — typical for humanSize CV 15.36 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness18 trades/day — very active360 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
39 entries
<=2
71 entries
<=5
106 entries
<=10
138 entries
<=20
162 entries
<=50
201 entries
>50
29 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)43.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.6%

Los Angeles$2
Netanyahu$0
Ambongo Besungu$-5,570
New York City$-21,347
Other$-785,603

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
124

Single bracket

<=1
91 brackets
<=2
99 brackets
<=3
109 brackets
<=4
115 brackets
<=5
117 brackets
<=8
121 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2025, 11:27:28 PM1 trades$6200 min
2/3/2025, 10:19:08 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2025, 5:09:43 PM1 trades$1310 min
2/5/2025, 7:32:50 PM1 trades$180 min
2/6/2025, 12:26:42 AM1 trades$350 min
2/6/2025, 2:28:41 AM1 trades$310 min
2/7/2025, 12:04:55 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 12:12:17 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 2:39:26 AM1 trades$60 min
2/7/2025, 8:06:35 AM1 trades$260 min
2/7/2025, 11:16:50 AM1 trades$930 min
2/9/2025, 5:06:12 PM1 trades$1380 min
2/9/2025, 7:05:16 PM1 trades$370 min
2/10/2025, 3:15:56 PM3 trades$150 min
2/11/2025, 10:27:46 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/11/2025, 10:08:05 PM4 trades$1052 min
2/11/2025, 10:30:51 PM2 trades$930 min
2/12/2025, 4:13:06 PM2 trades$550 min
2/22/2025, 9:26:57 PM1 trades$200 min
2/24/2025, 6:28:45 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-04
07-18
10-19
01-07
04-29
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event