@QuietRiskisWrong
#350950x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
~131d· 296 markets · 18559 tradesVol: $11,508,4922026-07-31 15:29:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
78% (209/268)20/20
2.50x (win $1,194,723 / loss $477,197)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.58815/15
Sortino 10.66210/10
$+0.1086 per $1 invested5.4/10
HHI 165 (268 markets)10/10
60/83 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($96,900 / $772,485)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+576,642
DCA Master
Avg 58.8 entries/market
Whale
$6,607,701 invested
Consistent
60/83 profitable days
High Roller
$36,709/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#63$632,352Vol: $8,978,430
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,011$-26,282Vol: $1,870,779
💰 FINANCE#656,942$-37,980Vol: $358,742
🎭 CULTURE#2,546$2,627Vol: $37,837
Overview
#1Net PnL
$576,322
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,508,492
Total Redeem
$133,396
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
5760B / 12799S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d
Periods
#2Today
$950
Vol: $8,764
Week
$-27,927
Vol: $56,931
Month
$-77,368
Vol: $228,426
All Time
$576,322
Vol: $11,508,492
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
78%
209W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$576,642
Win Rate
78%
209W / 59L
Profit Factor
2.5x
Avg Win
$5,716
Avg Loss
$-8,228
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $546,731 (0.9481283155841744% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$254,736
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$197,186
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$94,810
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$50,250
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$49,517
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$45,385
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$41,726
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$40,914
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$22,231
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$21,287
Top Losers
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-96,900
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-83,996
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$-38,834
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-37,113
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-26,069
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-25,205
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-24,606
Spurs vs. Knicks$-24,440
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-21,271
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants$-15,492
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.187
Sortino
0.340
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.145
Kelly %
35.4%
Half-Kelly
17.7%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
103.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.0m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
107.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock103 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
58.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)71.1%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 1:47:11 AM341 trades$379,50931 min
5/7/2026, 2:32:26 AM355 trades$317,35969 min
5/7/2026, 4:20:26 AM32 trades$284,5475 min
5/7/2026, 3:48:58 AM140 trades$217,60426 min
5/9/2026, 1:06:26 AM305 trades$157,41528 min
5/7/2026, 1:57:59 AM122 trades$154,95118 min
4/4/2026, 5:50:47 PM226 trades$124,72515 min
4/12/2026, 2:44:47 AM107 trades$123,1637 min
4/22/2026, 12:22:04 AM21 trades$112,7171 min
4/12/2026, 3:08:13 AM147 trades$108,76411 min
3/4/2026, 9:15:29 PM3 trades$105,5001 min
4/8/2026, 1:13:17 PM102 trades$104,3038 min
6/7/2026, 6:51:30 PM763 trades$101,63167 min
4/30/2026, 4:16:32 AM302 trades$100,81330 min
4/21/2026, 10:54:40 PM17 trades$100,6921 min
2/28/2026, 4:01:01 PM40 trades$96,43231 min
4/22/2026, 3:07:20 AM13 trades$91,3190 min
3/4/2026, 10:09:29 PM7 trades$88,25016 min
4/22/2026, 11:08:04 AM25 trades$88,1245 min
4/22/2026, 11:20:38 AM31 trades$83,0181 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
03-16
04-02
04-21
05-05
05-24
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M20.5 / H71.1