@RFK-Jr

#3,104,66914

0x8e414f15f9195e6f6a1c223e2502afe2a0c85932

~52d· 87 markets · 1205 tradesVol: $267,586 @murnaufw2026-08-26 09:17:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (30/83)3.1/20
0.32x (win $10,647 / loss $32,891)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5870/15
Sortino -4.6050/10
$-0.3251 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 579 (83 markets)9.6/10
13/37 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 646% of peak ($27,708 / $4,288)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$68,410 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,893,628$-14,255Vol: $72,453
₿ CRYPTO#1,697,122$-8,489Vol: $46,251
🏛️ POLITICS#8,815$3,104Vol: $38,415
💰 FINANCE#3,150$1,500Vol: $28,703
📢 MENTIONS#178,760$-2,033Vol: $18,264
🎭 CULTURE#815,024$-579Vol: $7,901
💻 TECH#263,608$-981Vol: $7,006
📈 ECONOMICS#673,115$-176Vol: $6,721

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,854
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$267,586
Total Redeem
$986
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
925B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $260
Week
$79
Vol: $14,692
Month
$1,373
Vol: $87,877
All Time
$-20,854
Vol: $267,586

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
30W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-19,852
Win Rate
36%
30W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$355
Avg Loss
$-645

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,864 (0.2953659931040215% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3,639
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1,206
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1,018
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$996
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$648
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$640
Celtics vs. Wizards$560
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$337
Will Trump and Elon say "Tax" 5 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$321
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)$162

Top Losers

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-8,949
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-4,485
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-4,093
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-4,028
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-1,856
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-1,131
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$-978
Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?$-901
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?$-675
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$-549

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.237
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
620
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.311
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
45.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
57.8m
between trades
Night Trading
66%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 4.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)66% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)47.5%
High (>55c)43.4%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 2:59:05 PM1 trades$6,1600 min
11/6/2024, 3:28:15 PM1 trades$6,1130 min
12/4/2025, 3:32:01 AM180 trades$6,02725 min
12/4/2025, 4:04:03 AM40 trades$5,00610 min
12/4/2025, 4:27:39 AM125 trades$4,61125 min
12/4/2025, 5:12:35 AM56 trades$4,06612 min
7/27/2026, 6:04:40 AM2 trades$3,9520 min
12/4/2025, 3:06:43 PM1 trades$3,4500 min
7/28/2026, 12:38:21 AM2 trades$2,6440 min
12/4/2025, 3:13:05 PM2 trades$2,2574 min
12/4/2025, 2:28:45 AM2 trades$2,2322 min
12/4/2025, 2:50:03 AM19 trades$2,0846 min
5/31/2026, 4:36:14 PM2 trades$2,0470 min
2/19/2025, 1:26:28 AM33 trades$2,04243 min
4/28/2026, 2:38:54 AM19 trades$1,99512 min
12/6/2025, 8:45:03 AM3 trades$1,9414 min
7/19/2026, 3:08:43 AM1 trades$1,4990 min
2/19/2025, 4:10:11 PM8 trades$1,18510 min
7/19/2026, 2:39:01 AM7 trades$1,1182 min
12/4/2025, 4:19:17 AM52 trades$1,1013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
05-25
12-23
04-20
05-03
07-19
08-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 571 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M47.5 / H43.4