@Rafael88

#3,056,45430

0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6

~165d· 151 markets · 4369 tradesVol: $1,166,0462026-08-05 01:14:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (68/121)13.1/20
0.54x (win $34,881 / loss $65,001)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2510/15
Sortino -3.5100/10
$-0.1053 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 311 (121 markets)10/10
35/62 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 4536% of peak ($30,799 / $679)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 30.4 entries/market
Whale
$286,074 invested
High Roller
$1,144/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,826$-6,369Vol: $605,359
SPORTS#1,839,796$-1,304Vol: $477,506
📈 ECONOMICS#678,890$-990Vol: $72,458
💰 FINANCE#622,590$-60Vol: $9,133
🎭 CULTURE#72,517$9Vol: $1,589

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,714
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,166,046
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
151
total markets
Trades
1744B / 2625S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~165d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $268
Week
$780
Vol: $13,494
Month
$3,356
Vol: $18,153
All Time
$-8,714
Vol: $1,166,046

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
68W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-8,683
Win Rate
56%
68W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$513
Avg Loss
$-1,300

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,693 (1.3467200152951162% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$4,806
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$3,504
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,383
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,984
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,870
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2,323
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,542
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1,242
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,225
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1,109

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-11,382
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-9,785
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-8,194
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$-5,774
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-5,657
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-5,229
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,878
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-2,034
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,458
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$-1,237

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
243
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)62.6%

Sessions

#12
2/10/2026, 2:32:45 AM4 trades$10,8393 min
5/26/2026, 5:24:35 PM21 trades$8,2794 min
6/1/2026, 4:48:35 AM51 trades$8,0412 min
6/18/2026, 3:49:34 AM18 trades$7,9271 min
4/4/2026, 7:23:03 PM49 trades$7,50012 min
1/29/2026, 1:56:22 AM4 trades$7,1692 min
6/18/2026, 4:04:31 AM22 trades$7,0811 min
1/27/2026, 12:45:31 AM2 trades$6,9001 min
2/25/2026, 6:09:18 PM3 trades$6,7861 min
6/22/2026, 2:46:46 AM23 trades$6,7762 min
6/24/2026, 3:37:22 AM42 trades$6,18912 min
6/16/2026, 9:28:11 PM18 trades$6,0471 min
6/22/2026, 2:40:59 AM24 trades$6,0270 min
6/9/2026, 5:58:25 PM60 trades$5,84611 min
6/13/2026, 12:48:52 AM15 trades$5,4232 min
6/15/2026, 1:18:09 AM17 trades$5,2941 min
6/30/2026, 2:50:40 AM12 trades$4,7378 min
4/21/2026, 1:16:04 PM4 trades$4,7290 min
4/21/2026, 10:09:04 PM6 trades$4,5350 min
2/14/2026, 12:50:57 AM2 trades$4,4811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
02-04
03-14
04-07
05-31
06-19
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 162 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.7 / M24.8 / H62.6