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@Rash-Rayon

#1,757100

0xcf0aca0d7a395202aec661c3666be9cc098e320a

186d· 1519 markets · 4813 tradesVol: $3,349,2862026-06-23T14:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 7506.07x15/15
Sharpe 0.83015/15
Sortino 642426.21510/10
EV $+995169.44310/10
HHI 9610/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Rash-Rayon is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked #1757 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Over 157 days, they have executed 4,813 trades across 234 markets, generating a net profit of $97,314.99 from a total trading volume exceeding $3.3 million. Their elite Smart Score of 100/100 reflects exceptional trading performance, supported by a remarkable 99.1% win rate and a profit factor above 1,180. Despite the high activity, Rash-Rayon maintains an upward equity trend with no recorded drawdown duration.

Rash-Rayon’s trading style is characterized by a strong preference for frequent, profitable trades with a moderate risk profile, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.83. They appear to favor selling positions slightly more than buying, with a sell percentage of 57%. The trader does not engage in weather markets, instead focusing on a diverse range of other markets where they leverage techniques such as dollar-cost averaging and sniper-like precision. Their fast interface use suggests human decision-making with rapid execution, aligning with their badges highlighting accuracy and consistent win streaks.

The key strengths of Rash-Rayon include their consistency, high win rate, and ability to sustain profitability over numerous trades without significant drawdowns. Their diversified market approach and disciplined risk management contribute to steady portfolio growth. However, the absence of portfolio value and potential over-reliance on short-term trades could pose risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Rash-Rayon's elite status on Polymarket reflects strong capabilities but also warrants monitoring for adaptability in changing environments.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+97,315
DCA Master
avg 8.8 entries/market
Win Streak
137 wins in a row
Whale
$401,510
Consistent
100/101 days
High Roller
$2,557/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#129,979$43Vol: $770

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$97,315
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,349,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1519
total markets
Trades
2070B / 2743S
Daily Volume
$2,557
Account Age
186d
since Dec 22, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-76
Vol: $2,897
Week
$5
Vol: $21,623
Month
$7,037
Vol: $358,364
All Time
$97,315
Vol: $3,349,286

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
205W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$64,885
Win Rate
99%
225W / 2L
Profit Factor
1180.33x
Avg Win
$313
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,492 (9.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$2,589
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$2,169
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Sta$1,734
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner$1,087
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playo$1,039
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$994
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner$964
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$868
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$859
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$844

Top Losers

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$-35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.830
Sortino
inf
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$995169.443
Kelly %
99.1%
Half-Kelly
49.5%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.8m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 1.74 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.20 — human randomness31 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.8
Active DCA
<=1
15 entries
<=2
29 entries
<=5
95 entries
<=10
170 entries
<=20
213 entries
<=50
234 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)52.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$70,280

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
213

Single bracket

<=1
195 brackets
<=2
210 brackets
<=3
213 brackets
<=4
213 brackets
<=5
213 brackets
<=8
213 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 3:11:20 PM3 trades$101 min
1/17/2026, 3:26:50 PM6 trades$1,48010 min
1/18/2026, 5:16:40 PM9 trades$501 min
1/18/2026, 5:31:54 PM6 trades$4237 min
1/18/2026, 7:37:42 PM4 trades$893 min
1/18/2026, 8:02:12 PM3 trades$236 min
1/18/2026, 8:15:04 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/18/2026, 9:21:18 PM3 trades$30 min
1/18/2026, 9:27:24 PM2 trades$3511 min
1/18/2026, 9:42:00 PM2 trades$3624 min
1/19/2026, 2:49:36 PM2 trades$50 min
1/19/2026, 4:18:04 PM3 trades$611 min
1/19/2026, 4:27:42 PM1 trades$80 min
1/19/2026, 4:39:32 PM7 trades$49810 min
1/19/2026, 6:43:30 PM3 trades$2851 min
1/20/2026, 4:58:46 PM2 trades$1152 min
1/20/2026, 5:14:06 PM1 trades$10 min
1/20/2026, 5:24:20 PM6 trades$1,1939 min
1/23/2026, 10:50:52 AM8 trades$53414 min
1/25/2026, 9:14:26 AM9 trades$4388 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-14
03-12
04-04
04-23
05-14
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event