@Realisticend

#3,128,42033

0x6449983b571a193dffbe73669a0db97ad66fe1d4

~23d· 50 markets · 294 tradesVol: $45,0302026-10-08 02:14:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (23/37)16.1/20
0.58x (win $2,022 / loss $3,466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2760/15
Sortino -4.4570/10
$-0.1218 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 621 (37 markets)9.4/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 620% of peak ($1,722 / $278)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,055$-1,775Vol: $23,832
⚽ SPORTS#1,861,373$-691Vol: $12,910
📈 ECONOMICS#20,992$38Vol: $3,414
₿ CRYPTO#1,636,974$-488Vol: $3,052
💰 FINANCE#593,280$-14Vol: $1,366
💻 TECH#28,795$4Vol: $261
📢 MENTIONS#144,586$-18Vol: $142
🎭 CULTURE#705,424$-12Vol: $52

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,955
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,030
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
81B / 213S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-24
Vol: $0
Week
$-505
Vol: $4,796
Month
$-599
Vol: $11,917
All Time
$-2,955
Vol: $45,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
22W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-1,670
Win Rate
65%
22W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-385

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $613 (0.3673072201495889% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$215
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$200
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$198
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$197
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$174
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$171
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$130
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$115
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)$97
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)$88

Top Losers

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-1,224
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$-492
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$-400
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-380
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$-370
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-200
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)$-200
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$-149
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$-51

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.228
HHI
446
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)86.4%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 4:59:41 PM21 trades$2,4404 min
7/8/2026, 5:53:08 PM5 trades$1,2381 min
7/8/2026, 9:34:56 PM5 trades$1,1202 min
8/1/2026, 1:13:57 PM10 trades$1,0064 min
7/22/2026, 5:57:49 AM14 trades$1,0014 min
7/27/2026, 9:49:37 AM12 trades$9711 min
7/22/2026, 5:40:04 AM11 trades$9020 min
7/24/2026, 7:18:42 AM14 trades$8613 min
6/27/2026, 3:29:34 PM3 trades$8000 min
7/25/2026, 4:17:52 PM12 trades$7092 min
6/27/2026, 3:36:40 PM8 trades$6062 min
7/12/2026, 1:05:31 PM17 trades$5741 min
8/1/2026, 8:20:12 PM15 trades$5405 min
8/6/2026, 11:09:15 PM3 trades$4600 min
7/15/2026, 1:41:04 PM7 trades$4600 min
7/9/2026, 7:53:40 PM11 trades$4460 min
6/27/2026, 5:07:31 PM4 trades$4381 min
7/8/2026, 9:16:43 PM3 trades$4000 min
8/1/2026, 8:37:33 PM4 trades$4000 min
7/16/2026, 8:17:26 AM4 trades$3973 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
07-08
07-13
07-16
07-22
07-25
07-28
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M13.6 / H86.4