Reallly-prime

@Reallly-prime

#158,7805

0x6dbdd8f2402d4d8d679632b43b264d342db764a1

~46d· 28 markets · 414 tradesVol: $14,3482026-08-26 09:16:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (3/16)0/20
0.14x (win $95 / loss $696)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.8530/15
Sortino -8.9030/10
$-0.5161 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1466 (16 markets)5.2/10
3/14 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 1279% of peak ($651 / $51)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+98
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#519,420$0Vol: $100
CRYPTO#974,607$-3Vol: $86

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$255
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,348
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
259B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$255
Vol: $14,348

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
3W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$98
Win Rate
19%
3W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $95 (0.9751812889388214% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$51
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$36
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$8

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-258
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-204
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-48
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$-45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-34
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-12
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.497
Sortino
-0.497
HHI
1111
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.692
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
60.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2428s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.9%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 11:42:40 AM11 trades$1199 min
7/20/2026, 11:07:03 PM4 trades$1101 min
7/14/2026, 1:42:44 PM6 trades$1010 min
7/13/2026, 1:35:01 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 2:01:20 PM3 trades$1000 min
8/5/2026, 1:38:08 PM3 trades$904 min
6/2/2026, 2:35:23 PM8 trades$850 min
7/24/2026, 6:36:13 PM10 trades$648 min
6/2/2026, 2:51:29 PM3 trades$600 min
6/2/2026, 7:21:30 PM3 trades$600 min
6/5/2026, 9:24:00 AM4 trades$581 min
6/8/2026, 12:37:46 AM5 trades$550 min
6/16/2026, 4:06:44 PM3 trades$500 min
7/8/2026, 5:37:19 PM2 trades$500 min
7/15/2026, 2:06:08 PM2 trades$500 min
7/17/2026, 2:01:40 PM4 trades$485 min
8/5/2026, 4:19:32 PM4 trades$441 min
6/2/2026, 9:37:20 PM2 trades$440 min
6/7/2026, 9:10:55 AM9 trades$422 min
7/23/2026, 1:46:18 PM3 trades$380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-09
06-16
06-26
07-10
07-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.9 / M12 / H47.1