@RepublicOfChina
#23,796260xe947b0748c6f37c656c7674636f93b4c527c7a45
~546d· 829 markets · 4315 tradesVol: $617,2562026-08-04 19:59:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (394/761)10.9/20
0.84x (win $35,326 / loss $42,080)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4860/15
Sortino -0.5410/10
$-0.0256 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (761 markets)10/10
174/362 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 165% of peak ($19,812 / $12,012)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+5,399
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$263,666 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#5,890$5,515Vol: $586,945
🎭 CULTURE#9,553$369Vol: $12,441
⚽ SPORTS#1,695,353$-114Vol: $6,198
₿ CRYPTO#1,323,877$-30Vol: $5,212
📈 ECONOMICS#670,630$-245Vol: $1,738
💰 FINANCE#15,639$132Vol: $1,192
📢 MENTIONS#6,984$79Vol: $542
💻 TECH#236,206$-21Vol: $230
🌤️ WEATHER#237,951$-7Vol: $30
Overview
#1Net PnL
$5,399
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$617,256
Total Redeem
$101
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
829
total markets
Trades
2812B / 1503S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~546d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$44
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,399
Vol: $617,256
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
394W / 367L events
Realized PnL
$5,399
Win Rate
52%
394W / 367L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$90
Avg Loss
$-117
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,747 (1.6201826637945247% of PnL)
Top Winners
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$3,087
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?$2,962
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2,699
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?$2,595
South Korean President impeached in 2024?$2,480
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$698
Yoon out of custody by March 31?$663
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$625
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?$483
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$435
Top Losers
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-12,133
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-5,147
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$-2,302
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$-2,259
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$-1,403
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$-1,204
Will Trump announce military action against Iran before July?$-1,071
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$-475
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-466
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$-429
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.021
HHI
248
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
28%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 582s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)28.4%
High (>55c)58%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 9:50:54 PM57 trades$8,47620 min
7/11/2026, 11:39:49 AM32 trades$6,0870 min
6/3/2026, 10:40:48 PM6 trades$5,8190 min
6/25/2025, 6:16:21 AM1 trades$5,1370 min
6/25/2025, 12:29:01 AM1 trades$5,0720 min
12/3/2024, 10:11:18 PM4 trades$4,8244 min
12/1/2024, 1:38:00 PM2 trades$4,7022 min
12/12/2024, 3:02:29 AM3 trades$4,6273 min
6/24/2025, 7:17:33 PM1 trades$4,6240 min
5/6/2025, 6:54:47 PM2 trades$4,5390 min
7/19/2025, 1:19:02 PM2 trades$4,3835 min
12/1/2024, 1:46:30 PM1 trades$4,2520 min
11/3/2025, 6:15:39 PM4 trades$4,1882 min
12/14/2024, 7:38:52 AM5 trades$4,1361 min
12/31/2024, 3:13:20 PM2 trades$4,0412 min
12/22/2024, 11:44:34 AM3 trades$3,8441 min
5/20/2025, 12:37:49 PM3 trades$3,8357 min
12/16/2025, 10:51:49 PM3 trades$3,8216 min
1/25/2025, 10:16:55 AM3 trades$3,7263 min
12/29/2024, 4:18:02 PM3 trades$3,6596 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
10-18
02-15
06-23
11-02
02-19
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M28.4 / H58