Polydata
Ripe-Aquarium

@Ripe-Aquarium

#2,91092

0x183f8b17cfb09c9115d068b2da3033b54f4c85e3

313d· 1373 markets · 4150 tradesVol: $7,011,3572026-07-04T15:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 3.05x15/15
Sharpe 0.54010/15
Sortino 1.26210/10
EV $+2.04510/10
HHI 6510/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Aquarium is an active Polymarket trader ranked #2910 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $58,212.20 over 125 days. They have executed 4,150 trades across 315 markets, maintaining a total volume exceeding $7 million. Their overall performance is strong, reflected by an elite Smart Score of 92 and a positive, though modest, profit factor of 1.02.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets without exposure to weather-related questions. Ripe-Aquarium exhibits a moderately conservative risk profile, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.54 and a flat equity trend, suggesting stable returns over time. Their win rate of 67.2% combined with a zero max drawdown duration points to effective risk management and timing. The absence of sell trades and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master imply a preference for holding positions and averaging in rather than frequent flipping.

Ripe-Aquarium’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and disciplined execution, supported by badges such as Sniper and Contrarian, which highlight their tactical precision. However, the relatively low profit factor and Bot Score of 40 suggest room for improving efficiency and automation. The stable but unspectacular Sharpe ratio and flat portfolio value indicate limited growth potential, which could be a concern for traders seeking high volatility or rapid gains on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+58,212
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.2 entries/market
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
Whale
$1,049,655
Consistent
66/93 days
High Roller
$8,397/day
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#68,714$168Vol: $42,000
🏛️ POLITICS#1,567,836$-431Vol: $14,805
SPORTS#1,714,569$-465Vol: $4,877

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$58,212
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,011,357
Total Redeem
$640,256
Portfolio
$1,397
Predictions
1373
total markets
Trades
4145B / 5S
Daily Volume
$8,397
Account Age
313d
since Aug 26, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$4,709
Vol: $22,881
Week
$-31,254
Vol: $268,899
Month
$-2,359
Vol: $95,331
All Time
$58,212
Vol: $7,011,357

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
68%
206W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$1,143,494
Win Rate
67%
115W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$2,461
Avg Loss
$-4,945

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,218 (429.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$10,656
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$8,122
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$7,440
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)$7,015
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$6,860
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne M$6,400
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage $6,014
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playof$5,852
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$5,789
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)$5,460

Top Losers

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In$-14,737
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)$-13,064
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-11,928
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$-9,518
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gr$-8,663
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$-8,403
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$-8,152
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)$-7,092
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qu$-6,960
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stag$-6,845

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.540
Sortino
1.262
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.045
Kelly %
21.4%
Half-Kelly
10.7%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.1m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — typical for humanSize CV 3.20 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness42 trades/day — suspiciously high389 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
85 entries
<=2
106 entries
<=5
157 entries
<=10
202 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
300 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)59.4%
High (>55c)29.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 4.7%

London$10,356
Other$2,427
Atlanta$-6,676

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
211

Single bracket

<=1
164 brackets
<=2
183 brackets
<=3
195 brackets
<=4
200 brackets
<=5
210 brackets
<=8
211 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 2:44:15 PM2 trades$220 min
3/26/2026, 2:54:01 PM4 trades$143 min
3/26/2026, 3:12:07 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 3:23:15 PM1 trades$40 min
3/26/2026, 3:32:33 PM2 trades$632 min
3/27/2026, 1:11:39 PM1 trades$1040 min
3/30/2026, 8:13:53 PM7 trades$10916 min
3/30/2026, 9:26:45 PM1 trades$80 min
3/30/2026, 9:36:15 PM1 trades$180 min
3/30/2026, 9:47:19 PM1 trades$00 min
3/30/2026, 9:52:23 PM1 trades$110 min
3/30/2026, 10:05:07 PM1 trades$110 min
3/30/2026, 10:13:15 PM1 trades$130 min
3/30/2026, 10:23:15 PM1 trades$130 min
3/30/2026, 10:37:53 PM4 trades$195 min
3/31/2026, 7:44:45 PM3 trades$170 min
3/31/2026, 7:58:25 PM5 trades$1274 min
3/31/2026, 8:21:47 PM5 trades$151 min
3/31/2026, 8:29:29 PM2 trades$60 min
3/31/2026, 8:41:27 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-10
04-25
05-14
05-29
06-14
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event