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Ripe-Aquarium

@Ripe-Aquarium

#1,68396

0x183f8b17cfb09c9115d068b2da3033b54f4c85e3

312d· 1325 markets · 6203 tradesVol: $6,730,0142026-06-27T16:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 70%20/20
Profit Factor 3.56x15/15
Sharpe 0.57611/15
Sortino 1.52010/10
EV $+2.50310/10
HHI 4310/10
Profit Days 73%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Aquarium is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1683 globally by net PnL. Over 119 days, they have executed 6,203 trades across 448 markets, generating a net profit of $102,440.41 on a total volume exceeding $6.7 million. Their smart score of 96/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance and expertise. Despite a stable equity trend and a portfolio value around $7,183, Ripe-Aquarium’s profit factor of 0.83 and Sharpe ratio of 0.58 indicate moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s strategy favors frequent, high-volume trading with a contrarian and sniper style, as suggested by their badges and low sell percentage of 1%. They appear to focus on manual and bot-assisted trades, balancing timing with dollar-cost averaging techniques. Ripe-Aquarium maintains a nearly 60% win rate, indicating a preference for steady, incremental gains rather than high-risk bets. Their activity avoids weather markets entirely, suggesting a focus on other event types.

Ripe-Aquarium’s strengths include disciplined execution, low drawdown duration, and a diversified approach across hundreds of markets. However, the below-1 profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about risk management and profitability sustainability. The semi-bot trading style may also expose them to algorithmic risks, while their stable equity trend suggests limited growth momentum on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+102,440
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.7 entries/market
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
Whale
$1,739,213
Consistent
64/88 days
High Roller
$14,615/day
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#68,195$168Vol: $42,000
🏛️ POLITICS#1,542,453$-253Vol: $14,805
SPORTS#1,682,884$-465Vol: $4,877

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$102,440
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,730,014
Total Redeem
$798,212
Portfolio
$7,184
Predictions
1325
total markets
Trades
6148B / 55S
Daily Volume
$14,615
Account Age
312d
since Aug 26, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$832
Vol: $6,768
Week
$-1,883
Vol: $64,373
Month
$-35,051
Vol: $1,148,615
All Time
$102,440
Vol: $6,730,014

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
207W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$1,100,383
Win Rate
60%
127W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$2,783
Avg Loss
$-4,985

Top Winners

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$10,656
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stag$9,206
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In$9,151
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)$8,400
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$8,122
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$7,440
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)$7,015
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 $6,904
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$6,860
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$6,405

Top Losers

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In$-14,737
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-13,720
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episod$-13,711
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)$-13,064
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner$-12,710
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-11,928
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner$-11,156
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-10,978
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$-9,631
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$-9,518

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.576
Sortino
1.520
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.503
Kelly %
5.9%
Half-Kelly
2.9%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
66.6
Very active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.5m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 3.21 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness67 trades/day — mass trading362 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
106 entries
<=2
136 entries
<=5
217 entries
<=10
278 entries
<=20
343 entries
<=50
427 entries
>50
21 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)59.9%
High (>55c)30.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 4.6%

London$10,356
Atlanta$-14,874
Other$-65,791

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
299

Single bracket

<=1
217 brackets
<=2
260 brackets
<=3
282 brackets
<=4
290 brackets
<=5
297 brackets
<=8
299 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 2:44:15 PM2 trades$220 min
3/26/2026, 2:54:01 PM4 trades$143 min
3/26/2026, 3:12:07 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 3:23:15 PM1 trades$40 min
3/26/2026, 3:32:33 PM2 trades$632 min
3/27/2026, 1:11:39 PM1 trades$1040 min
3/30/2026, 8:13:53 PM7 trades$10916 min
3/30/2026, 9:26:45 PM1 trades$80 min
3/30/2026, 9:36:15 PM1 trades$180 min
3/30/2026, 9:47:19 PM1 trades$00 min
3/30/2026, 9:52:23 PM1 trades$110 min
3/30/2026, 10:05:07 PM1 trades$110 min
3/30/2026, 10:13:15 PM1 trades$130 min
3/30/2026, 10:23:15 PM1 trades$130 min
3/30/2026, 10:37:53 PM4 trades$195 min
3/31/2026, 7:44:45 PM3 trades$170 min
3/31/2026, 7:58:25 PM5 trades$1274 min
3/31/2026, 8:21:47 PM5 trades$151 min
3/31/2026, 8:29:29 PM2 trades$60 min
3/31/2026, 8:41:27 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-07
04-21
05-08
05-23
06-06
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event