@RisottoPasta
#3,067,685260x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4
~110d· 858 markets · 10667 tradesVol: $7,559,7262026-08-02 08:50:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (341/693)9.6/20
0.94x (win $801,740 / loss $853,966)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6120/15
Sortino -0.8660/10
$-0.0217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 94 (693 markets)10/10
43/88 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 441% of peak ($148,222 / $33,620)0/10
Badges
6DCA Master
Avg 14.1 entries/market
Whale
$2,403,603 invested
High Roller
$21,851/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-42,391
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,559,726
Total Redeem
$2,534
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
858
total markets
Trades
8609B / 2058S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
341W / 352L events
Realized PnL
$-42,359
Win Rate
49%
341W / 352L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$2,351
Avg Loss
$-2,557
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174,222 (4.112962518791597% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$65,040
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$55,387
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53,796
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$33,363
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$31,350
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$30,193
Pistons vs. Magic$27,900
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$25,498
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$24,196
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$21,709
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45,874
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-45,100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-37,676
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-29,929
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-27,452
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)$-24,753
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-24,749
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-22,347
Spread: France (-1.5)$-19,174
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-19,045
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
97.0
Very active
Markets / Day
7.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 5.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock97 trades/day — mass trading7.8 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)87.9%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 6:56:52 PM73 trades$45,87828 min
5/14/2026, 11:13:08 AM85 trades$43,05351 min
5/8/2026, 6:29:22 PM19 trades$40,6815 min
6/8/2026, 1:14:42 PM5 trades$34,5933 min
6/26/2026, 9:20:29 PM88 trades$34,05111 min
6/23/2026, 9:10:37 PM97 trades$33,6256 min
4/19/2026, 3:52:24 PM4 trades$32,7321 min
6/26/2026, 4:07:52 PM77 trades$32,6059 min
4/26/2026, 3:33:02 AM57 trades$31,0148 min
6/16/2026, 10:57:19 PM3 trades$29,0973 min
6/23/2026, 4:50:17 PM9 trades$28,5895 min
6/25/2026, 4:17:16 AM29 trades$28,3426 min
5/3/2026, 2:31:32 PM1 trades$28,2000 min
5/6/2026, 8:52:58 AM2 trades$27,0232 min
6/13/2026, 1:59:42 AM8 trades$25,4231 min
7/10/2026, 12:35:46 AM1 trades$24,6770 min
6/3/2026, 4:27:19 PM2 trades$23,7550 min
5/4/2026, 3:15:22 AM2 trades$23,5961 min
6/15/2026, 4:37:40 AM1 trades$23,0830 min
6/15/2026, 5:27:46 AM130 trades$23,08312 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-01
05-16
06-03
06-18
07-02
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.4 / M6.7 / H87.9