@RolledWater
#1,752,571220xf2bfda79d2ea4e3ecf07c1aac9bb7d62979c3e90
~29d· 65 markets · 492 tradesVol: $40,0502026-08-04 18:11:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (28/62)7.6/20
0.78x (win $1,074 / loss $1,371)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4810/15
Sortino -3.9910/10
$-0.0936 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 636 (62 markets)9.3/10
11/21 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 463% of peak ($675 / $146)0/10
Badges
2DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,403,343$-14Vol: $127
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,050
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
179B / 313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Month
$-35
Vol: $280
All Time
$-8
Vol: $40,050
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
28W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
45%
28W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-46
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $362 (45.360100376411545% of PnL)
Top Winners
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$145
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$110
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$107
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)$87
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)$86
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eSuba (+1.5)$71
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$53
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)$44
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)$42
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)$42
Top Losers
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-272
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-170
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-108
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-100
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-60
Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$-59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-54
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$-52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$-52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-46
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.225
HHI
435
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
33.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 771s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)52.5%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 6:57:17 PM16 trades$6116 min
6/27/2026, 4:27:41 PM6 trades$5110 min
6/16/2026, 11:56:04 AM8 trades$4910 min
6/27/2026, 12:48:52 PM5 trades$3011 min
5/28/2026, 7:47:33 PM14 trades$2615 min
7/25/2026, 2:38:21 PM2 trades$2100 min
6/11/2026, 4:15:04 PM6 trades$1882 min
6/13/2026, 8:09:21 PM4 trades$1832 min
7/12/2026, 11:15:17 AM28 trades$1827 min
6/18/2026, 6:52:01 AM10 trades$1695 min
6/17/2026, 1:39:40 PM7 trades$1626 min
5/28/2026, 11:20:14 AM6 trades$1510 min
7/25/2026, 9:52:33 AM5 trades$1494 min
6/13/2026, 5:36:19 PM4 trades$1421 min
6/10/2026, 8:11:09 AM12 trades$1395 min
7/14/2026, 12:27:47 PM2 trades$1380 min
6/11/2026, 12:57:49 PM6 trades$1361 min
7/25/2026, 5:04:09 PM2 trades$1300 min
6/30/2026, 8:57:49 AM3 trades$1300 min
7/15/2026, 2:14:08 PM2 trades$1280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-10
06-13
06-17
06-27
07-15
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.8 / M20.7 / H52.5