@Romiche22

#9,54682

0x7ed0a33693a19378318f160064e4f9c1c27a9c4f

~290d· 2232 markets · 9071 tradesVol: $482,273 @MichelePredicts2026-08-05 20:51:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (1236/2155)13.7/20
1.71x (win $36,504 / loss $21,318)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.08515/15
Sortino 14.67910/10
$+0.0914 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 51 (2155 markets)10/10
166/279 profitable days (59%)7.4/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($1,061 / $15,218)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+16,180
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$166,159 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#9,458$4,924Vol: $184,171
💰 FINANCE#703$7,757Vol: $165,233
🏛️ POLITICS#12,035$1,900Vol: $37,701
CRYPTO#59,694$240Vol: $29,838
🎭 CULTURE#3,975$1,419Vol: $21,003
📢 MENTIONS#171,693$-315Vol: $12,043
📈 ECONOMICS#12,361$102Vol: $10,432
🌤️ WEATHER#11,082$44Vol: $2,974
💻 TECH#9,256$43Vol: $735

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,124
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$482,273
Total Redeem
$11,606
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2232
total markets
Trades
6244B / 2827S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~290d

Periods

#2
Today
$-124
Vol: $851
Week
$70
Vol: $3,645
Month
$343
Vol: $4,810
All Time
$16,124
Vol: $482,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
1236W / 919L events
Realized PnL
$16,180
Win Rate
57%
1236W / 919L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,373 (0.332088964155369% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2,666
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?$1,846
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$861
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?$608
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$582
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$562
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 12?$554
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$550
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?$525
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$473

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-736
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$-452
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-414
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?$-310
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-309
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-285
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 30?$-265
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-261
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$-245
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $147?$-232

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.213
Sortino
0.581
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.7
Active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 362s — normal for humanCV 3.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency7.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 8:42:24 PM9 trades$8,05617 min
6/14/2026, 2:15:12 PM41 trades$5,15419 min
7/16/2026, 9:50:40 PM14 trades$3,8983 min
6/12/2026, 7:52:07 PM9 trades$3,6316 min
7/15/2026, 9:29:52 PM5 trades$3,3505 min
4/29/2026, 7:53:50 PM87 trades$2,69450 min
5/23/2026, 4:29:58 PM5 trades$2,5441 min
7/11/2026, 6:42:38 PM30 trades$2,4447 min
5/3/2026, 4:59:28 PM38 trades$2,22920 min
4/5/2026, 8:22:35 PM10 trades$1,9974 min
7/5/2026, 2:38:32 PM54 trades$1,99532 min
5/29/2026, 10:23:21 PM48 trades$1,9145 min
7/6/2026, 8:53:50 PM20 trades$1,8705 min
6/20/2026, 11:12:13 AM15 trades$1,5641 min
6/7/2026, 2:32:57 PM18 trades$1,4228 min
4/30/2026, 11:17:36 PM2 trades$1,3620 min
4/15/2026, 8:50:12 PM14 trades$1,3535 min
7/5/2026, 10:42:37 PM8 trades$1,2070 min
6/15/2026, 10:26:45 PM2 trades$1,1520 min
5/1/2026, 8:08:00 PM5 trades$1,1503 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
12-03
01-19
03-08
04-25
06-13
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.5 / M23.3 / H45.2