Rougrot

@Rougrot

#2,998,11124

0xa4e380c8e86477cf3918826aab29ada08a46b39e

~122d· 927 markets · 4232 tradesVol: $186,4602026-09-21 18:54:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (417/879)8.7/20
0.51x (win $7,027 / loss $13,913)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6890/15
Sortino -1.6910/10
$-0.1257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 389 (879 markets)10/10
55/104 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 852% of peak ($9,297 / $1,091)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Whale
$54,790 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#19,688$874Vol: $96,185
SPORTS#56,036$506Vol: $41,609
🎭 CULTURE#755,586$-38Vol: $1,306
CRYPTO#985,902$-4Vol: $173
💰 FINANCE#65,305$7Vol: $82
📈 ECONOMICS#594,787$-8Vol: $49
🌤️ WEATHER#0$0Vol: $20
💻 TECH#208,673$-2Vol: $13
📢 MENTIONS#88,477$-1Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,020
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$186,460
Total Redeem
$46
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
927
total markets
Trades
2347B / 1885S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d

Periods

#2
Today
$190
Vol: $0
Week
$765
Vol: $0
Month
$1,871
Vol: $3,158
All Time
$-1,020
Vol: $186,460

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
417W / 462L events
Realized PnL
$-60
Win Rate
47%
417W / 462L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,065 (17.747957992998835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$471
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$326
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$268
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner$216
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$192
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$189
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels$186
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?$183
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$183
Timberwolves vs. Clippers$149

Top Losers

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$-6,535
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$-800
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-754
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$-557
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winner$-285
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stage$-212
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$-200
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$-197
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs$-180
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.088
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
192
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.202
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
23.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.2m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 214s — normal for humanCV 5.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active4.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)54%
High (>55c)32.7%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 4:49:12 PM47 trades$7,5326 min
3/13/2026, 3:42:51 AM2 trades$4,2391 min
3/13/2026, 3:27:27 AM2 trades$3,9090 min
5/8/2026, 5:14:38 PM22 trades$3,7293 min
5/4/2026, 2:27:12 AM16 trades$3,4905 min
2/28/2026, 7:31:03 PM2 trades$2,9590 min
2/21/2026, 5:43:48 PM6 trades$2,69710 min
2/21/2026, 5:29:06 PM2 trades$2,5061 min
5/8/2026, 4:37:46 PM6 trades$2,3063 min
7/12/2026, 2:50:13 AM34 trades$2,0316 min
4/15/2026, 1:06:10 AM14 trades$1,9513 min
5/8/2026, 3:36:58 PM35 trades$1,8214 min
5/8/2026, 2:31:52 PM4 trades$1,7712 min
4/5/2026, 3:18:05 AM22 trades$1,71417 min
3/12/2026, 5:01:59 AM3 trades$1,6895 min
2/28/2026, 7:38:23 PM1 trades$1,5280 min
2/28/2026, 7:45:57 PM2 trades$1,5280 min
2/28/2026, 10:54:31 PM2 trades$1,4970 min
4/15/2026, 1:56:12 AM9 trades$1,4126 min
5/3/2026, 8:38:50 PM7 trades$1,2360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-21
03-15
04-03
04-21
05-08
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.3 / M54 / H32.7