Sardinianshepherd

@Sardinianshepherd

#2,32976

0xf42f4a4211d058cd109d503cf13f7bcdfc82a6a7

~689d· 1551 markets · 17870 tradesVol: $3,846,6612026-08-04 19:57:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (1025/1506)19/20
1.42x (win $361,278 / loss $254,218)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.88615/15
Sortino 1.40810/10
$+0.0629 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 258 (1506 markets)10/10
346/500 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($79,775 / $121,341)0.9/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+81,302
DCA Master
Avg 14.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,702,187 invested
Consistent
346/500 profitable days
High Roller
$2,291/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#628$79,133Vol: $2,962,300
🎭 CULTURE#814,354$-2,478Vol: $177,106
📈 ECONOMICS#682,378$-5,593Vol: $163,214
💻 TECH#637$2,784Vol: $131,114
📢 MENTIONS#3,032$317Vol: $91,804
💰 FINANCE#2,687$1,728Vol: $85,967
SPORTS#17,721$2,454Vol: $79,594
CRYPTO#16,964$2,567Vol: $67,312
🌤️ WEATHER#298,518$-1,823Vol: $21,415

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$81,302
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,846,661
Total Redeem
$48,891
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1551
total markets
Trades
12125B / 5745S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~689d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,115
Vol: $14,058
Week
$1,251
Vol: $53,122
Month
$6,098
Vol: $56,272
All Time
$81,302
Vol: $3,846,661

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
1025W / 480L events
Realized PnL
$81,302
Win Rate
68%
1025W / 480L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$352
Avg Loss
$-539

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $125,071 (1.538352930526222% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$54,700
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43,292
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$27,079
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16,477
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8,049
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$6,133
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5,681
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$4,603
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4,515
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$4,277

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-44,139
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-30,842
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-29,204
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-16,606
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-11,198
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-6,858
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-4,910
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-4,452
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4,001
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$-3,740

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.042
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
30.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.6%
High (>55c)63.6%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 12:18:08 AM71 trades$45,1074 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:01 PM178 trades$30,28838 min
4/22/2026, 7:02:08 PM18 trades$25,0191 min
6/4/2026, 10:35:00 PM16 trades$23,5701 min
4/6/2026, 10:00:01 PM5 trades$19,9502 min
7/27/2026, 12:45:19 PM8 trades$18,4134 min
6/16/2026, 10:35:58 AM8 trades$16,8621 min
6/26/2026, 10:06:14 AM46 trades$16,75911 min
4/11/2026, 8:36:35 PM10 trades$16,6724 min
4/23/2026, 7:33:16 AM23 trades$16,0215 min
4/12/2026, 11:08:49 PM13 trades$12,6716 min
7/15/2026, 7:33:52 PM1 trades$12,0000 min
3/15/2026, 2:10:37 PM2 trades$11,0151 min
5/6/2026, 10:42:32 PM7 trades$10,9350 min
4/22/2026, 8:19:26 PM29 trades$10,7102 min
7/7/2026, 6:24:37 PM49 trades$10,27213 min
4/14/2026, 1:34:35 PM54 trades$10,09119 min
7/20/2026, 2:15:13 PM5 trades$9,9306 min
4/30/2026, 10:20:14 AM12 trades$9,65810 min
3/16/2026, 3:37:11 PM1 trades$9,5800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-12
01-08
05-08
08-30
12-22
03-22
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M20.6 / H63.6