@SaylorMoon

#56264

0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3

~523d· 2203 markets · 50853 tradesVol: $77,600,606 @FhantomBets2026-08-02 01:31:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (1312/2188)15/20
1.16x (win $3,561,545 / loss $3,079,407)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.95915/15
Sortino 1.30410/10
$+0.0143 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 296 (2188 markets)10/10
273/440 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($328,681 / $494,762)0.7/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+369,895
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 22.1 entries/market
Whale
$33,739,504 invested
Consistent
273/440 profitable days
High Roller
$56,896/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,814$-158,252Vol: $28,547,798
SPORTS#952$83,881Vol: $17,715,991
🎭 CULTURE#21$169,001Vol: $13,326,633
📈 ECONOMICS#119$56,864Vol: $6,544,345
CRYPTO#383$90,602Vol: $5,194,588
💻 TECH#20$51,679Vol: $4,601,791
📢 MENTIONS#39$47,602Vol: $843,413
💰 FINANCE#365$14,554Vol: $586,655
🌤️ WEATHER#295,484$-617Vol: $30,620

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$370,439
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,600,606
Total Redeem
$177,708
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2203
total markets
Trades
35382B / 15471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~523d

Periods

#2
Today
$544
Vol: $0
Week
$-23,955
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,130
Vol: $0
All Time
$370,439
Vol: $77,600,606

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
1312W / 876L events
Realized PnL
$369,895
Win Rate
60%
1312W / 876L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$2,715
Avg Loss
$-3,657

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $337,632 (0.9127768868797673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$138,685
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$113,212
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?$85,735
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$81,162
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$76,969
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$67,969
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$63,763
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$61,169
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$59,137
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$53,886

Top Losers

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-133,310
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-114,774
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-92,839
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-87,998
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-85,066
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-66,232
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-64,812
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-63,989
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-60,381
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?$-54,280

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.050
Sortino
0.047
HHI
191
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
85.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 5.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock86 trades/day — mass trading3.7 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)23.7%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2025, 8:25:05 AM14 trades$484,39810 min
1/20/2025, 9:01:37 AM302 trades$338,090176 min
12/4/2025, 3:34:47 AM29 trades$333,09719 min
1/21/2025, 4:57:33 PM29 trades$311,08016 min
7/5/2025, 11:58:37 AM21 trades$247,25010 min
7/26/2025, 11:01:11 PM30 trades$245,09914 min
7/5/2025, 11:00:01 AM2 trades$235,9730 min
6/29/2025, 5:34:25 PM5 trades$234,9131 min
7/4/2025, 11:37:57 AM10 trades$234,3579 min
7/9/2025, 12:20:31 AM23 trades$230,25110 min
7/8/2025, 9:15:27 PM1 trades$211,9960 min
7/8/2025, 8:40:45 PM20 trades$206,83121 min
7/8/2025, 11:59:31 PM5 trades$200,7963 min
7/12/2025, 12:01:46 AM17 trades$197,28617 min
1/19/2025, 2:43:47 AM18 trades$194,32411 min
6/24/2025, 11:15:55 AM50 trades$187,75526 min
6/3/2025, 12:28:12 PM32 trades$185,60914 min
1/19/2025, 10:17:05 PM8 trades$184,5487 min
7/3/2025, 7:34:15 PM3 trades$184,0691 min
4/29/2025, 8:11:40 PM8 trades$183,5279 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
04-01
06-27
09-24
12-14
03-19
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28 / M23.7 / H48.3