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Scaly-Scrip

@Scaly-Scrip

#12,806100

0x8e3f57e48f51496629dca4f4bdacbeec2f736941

528d· 589 markets · 2116 tradesVol: $736,4372026-06-10T00:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 7.15x15/15
Sharpe 0.89715/15
Sortino 4.24210/10
EV $+6.14510/10
HHI 4210/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Scaly-Scrip is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #12,806 globally with a net profit of $10,254.50. Over 99 days, they have executed 2,116 trades across 395 different markets, generating a total volume of $736,437. Despite a portfolio value currently at zero, Scaly-Scrip maintains a high Smart Score of 100/100, reflecting consistent and effective trading performance.

This trader exhibits a high-frequency, high-confidence style with a remarkable 99% win rate and a profit factor of 74.66, indicating significant returns relative to losses. Scaly-Scrip focuses on a diverse range of markets but avoids weather-related ones entirely, with only 10% of trades involving selling positions. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.90 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their max drawdown duration of zero days highlights exceptional risk management and timing.

Key strengths for Scaly-Scrip include precision entry and exit points, as suggested by badges like Sniper and Contrarian, and a strong ability to sustain winning streaks. Potential concerns involve the flat equity trend and zero portfolio value, which may indicate frequent cashing out or reallocation. While likely human-driven, their low Bot Score suggests rapid decision-making but not automated trading. Overall, Scaly-Scrip demonstrates a disciplined and profitable approach on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+10,255
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
Win Streak
119 wins in a row
Whale
$137,618
Consistent
66/79 days
High Roller
$1,390/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

2
SPORTS#4,725$10,289Vol: $736,263
CRYPTO#1,260,485$-35Vol: $174

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,255
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$736,437
Total Redeem
$32,885
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
589
total markets
Trades
1916B / 200S
Daily Volume
$1,390
Account Age
528d
since Jan 15, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$436
Vol: $1,125
Week
$965
Vol: $24,062
Month
$2,844
Vol: $52,320
All Time
$10,255
Vol: $736,437

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
191W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$95,595
Win Rate
99%
206W / 2L
Profit Factor
74.66x
Avg Win
$359
Avg Loss
$-496

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,144 (5.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner$1,511
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1,342
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,291
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner$1,221
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,171
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1,155
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Sant$1,135
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1,102
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$932
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$926

Top Losers

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$-829
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-163

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.897
Sortino
4.242
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.145
Kelly %
98.5%
Half-Kelly
49.3%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.4
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.9m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — typical for humanSize CV 1.62 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
106 entries
<=2
167 entries
<=5
271 entries
<=10
347 entries
<=20
390 entries
<=50
395 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)73.5%
High (>55c)22.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$72,792
London$271
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
291

Single bracket

<=1
203 brackets
<=2
279 brackets
<=3
287 brackets
<=4
291 brackets
<=5
291 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 11:27:55 PM1 trades$4600 min
3/15/2026, 6:18:37 AM2 trades$3253 min
3/15/2026, 6:34:29 AM1 trades$30 min
3/15/2026, 6:49:17 AM3 trades$122 min
3/15/2026, 7:03:27 AM2 trades$50 min
3/15/2026, 10:36:27 AM4 trades$4239 min
3/15/2026, 11:17:35 AM3 trades$1291 min
3/15/2026, 2:01:47 PM1 trades$5700 min
3/15/2026, 2:23:15 PM1 trades$4600 min
3/15/2026, 3:33:03 PM1 trades$2850 min
3/15/2026, 6:21:31 PM4 trades$2181 min
3/15/2026, 9:12:33 PM2 trades$3,6840 min
3/15/2026, 9:18:33 PM1 trades$660 min
3/15/2026, 9:24:15 PM1 trades$470 min
3/15/2026, 9:49:59 PM1 trades$7990 min
3/16/2026, 1:56:19 PM1 trades$2480 min
3/16/2026, 2:03:37 PM1 trades$1440 min
3/16/2026, 2:29:37 PM1 trades$1,0020 min
3/16/2026, 2:52:23 PM1 trades$1440 min
3/16/2026, 3:10:37 PM3 trades$2210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-16
03-31
04-16
05-02
05-21
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event