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Scaly-Scrip

@Scaly-Scrip

#10,648100

0x8e3f57e48f51496629dca4f4bdacbeec2f736941

488d· 494 markets · 2255 tradesVol: $641,6572026-05-14T14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 26.27x15/15
Sharpe 1.16915/15
Sortino 2.60310/10
EV $+20.71210/10
HHI 4210/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Scaly-Scrip is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, holding a global PnL rank of #10648. Over 73 days, they executed 2,255 trades across 402 markets, accumulating a net profit of $11,636.92 from a total volume of $641,657. Their elite Smart Score of 100/100 highlights consistent and skillful trading. Despite a relatively modest portfolio value of $1,632.99, Scaly-Scrip maintains a stable equity trend with a Sharpe Ratio of 1.17 and no recorded drawdown duration.

The trading style of Scaly-Scrip is characterized by a high win rate of 95.3% and a profit factor of 35.33, indicating a low-risk, high-reward approach. They tend to hold positions with minimal sell-offs, as evidenced by an 11% sell rate, and avoid weather markets entirely. Their badges suggest a sniper-like precision and contrarian strategies, combined with dollar-cost averaging. This implies a preference for well-timed entries and managing risk through steady position scaling rather than rapid trade turnover.

Strengths for Scaly-Scrip include a very high win rate, consistent profits, and disciplined risk management, supported by a flat equity curve and no significant drawdowns. However, potential risks stem from a relatively low bot score, suggesting manual or semi-manual trading that could be vulnerable to emotional bias or fatigue. Additionally, a concentrated portfolio and low sell percentage may limit the ability to adapt quickly to market changes. Overall, Scaly-Scrip demonstrates strong performance with some caution warranted for flexibility.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+11,637
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 5.0 entries/market
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
Whale
$142,754
Consistent
61/64 days
High Roller
$1,956/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
SPORTS#3,871$11,672Vol: $641,483
CRYPTO#1,215,695$-35Vol: $174

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,637
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$641,657
Total Redeem
$18,392
Portfolio
$1,633
Predictions
494
total markets
Trades
2014B / 241S
Daily Volume
$1,956
Account Age
488d
since Jan 15, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-78
Vol: $10,338
Month
$1,261
Vol: $36,614
All Time
$11,637
Vol: $641,657

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
178W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$85,304
Win Rate
95%
222W / 11L
Profit Factor
35.33x
Avg Win
$364
Avg Loss
$-208

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,227 (5.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner$1,511
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$1,425
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,291
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner$1,221
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,171
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1,155
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Sant$1,135
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1,102
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Pl$1,038
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winner$943

Top Losers

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$-829
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stage$-511
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage$-460
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner$-256
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-163
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-21
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL Nor$-8
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner$-7
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Master$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.169
Sortino
2.603
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$20.712
Kelly %
92.9%
Half-Kelly
46.4%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.0m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — typical for humanSize CV 1.63 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness32 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA
<=1
98 entries
<=2
165 entries
<=5
269 entries
<=10
354 entries
<=20
397 entries
<=50
402 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)75%
High (>55c)21.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$78,485
Paris$0
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
277

Single bracket

<=1
184 brackets
<=2
255 brackets
<=3
270 brackets
<=4
275 brackets
<=5
276 brackets
<=8
277 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 8:40:01 PM1 trades$3700 min
3/3/2026, 8:50:41 PM6 trades$2465 min
3/3/2026, 9:02:35 PM2 trades$6420 min
3/3/2026, 10:06:49 PM1 trades$1,6980 min
3/4/2026, 5:57:27 PM1 trades$6900 min
3/4/2026, 7:54:11 PM1 trades$1,0940 min
3/4/2026, 8:56:49 PM1 trades$6200 min
3/4/2026, 9:58:29 PM1 trades$4440 min
3/4/2026, 10:27:09 PM3 trades$2,2023 min
3/4/2026, 10:42:29 PM2 trades$1,6401 min
3/5/2026, 12:40:29 AM1 trades$8990 min
3/5/2026, 9:24:15 AM6 trades$3547 min
3/5/2026, 9:48:19 AM1 trades$1,1310 min
3/5/2026, 11:20:21 PM2 trades$5600 min
3/5/2026, 11:30:59 PM1 trades$7990 min
3/5/2026, 11:48:51 PM1 trades$2110 min
3/6/2026, 12:46:09 AM1 trades$6200 min
3/6/2026, 2:19:53 AM2 trades$2200 min
3/6/2026, 9:18:27 PM1 trades$1960 min
3/6/2026, 9:23:47 PM5 trades$4464 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-11
03-21
04-02
04-13
04-26
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event